Brazil Serie A
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Flamengo
vs
RB Bragantino
2 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Ayrton LucasAlex Sandro | ||
| 6′ | Fernando dos Santos Pedro | ||
| 13′ | Guillermo Varela | ||
| 37′ | Alex Sandro | ||
| 45′ | RodriguinhoAlix Vinicius | ||
| 45′ | Isidro PittaHenry Mosquera | ||
| 51′ | Guillermo Varela | ||
| 58′ | Vanderlan Barbosa da SilvaJose Herrera | ||
| 71′ | Pedro | ||
| 72′ | Jorge CarrascalLuiz Araújo | ||
| 72′ | PedroBruno Henrique | ||
| 77′ | Fábio Silva de FreitasIgnacio Sosa Ospital | ||
| 78′ | Tiago VolpiCleiton | ||
| 86′ | Bruno Henrique | ||
| 89′ | Bruno Henrique | ||
| 90′ | Gonzalo PlataJoaquín Freitas | ||
| 90′ | Giorgian de ArrascaetaNicolas De la Cruz | ||
| 90′ | Jose Herrera | ||
| 90′ | Agustin Sant Anna |
Flamengo
70%
Draw
19%
RB Bragantino
11%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 538 | Accurate passes | 233 |
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flamengo vs RB Bragantino
| Probability | Flamengo | Draw | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.9% | 21.8% | 9.3% |
| Market | 69.8% | 18.5% | 11.8% |
| Final | 69.5% | 19.3% | 11.2% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +3.3% | -2.5% |
Why Flamengo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Flamengo and RB Bragantino expected goals
Flamengo
1.93
RB Bragantino
0.58
Total expected goals: 2.52
Flamengo and RB Bragantino attack and defence ratings
Flamengo
Attack
1.37 +37%
Defence
0.61 -39%
RB Bragantino
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino: result vs prediction
Flamengo 2 – 1 RB Bragantino
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 69.5% | 1.44 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 69.5% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| RB Bragantino | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.7% |
| No | 61.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 43.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 31.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino stats
Flamengo and RB Bragantino recent form
| Flamengo |
DWWWWW |
| RB Bragantino |
DLLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flamengo and RB Bragantino going into this match
Flamengo record
- They have won 17 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
RB Bragantino record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Flamengo wins
2Draws
3RB Bragantino wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | RB Bragantino | Flamengo | Brazil Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Flamengo | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-24 | RB Bragantino | Flamengo | Brazil Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Flamengo | RB Bragantino | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | RB Bragantino | Flamengo | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-24 | Flamengo | RB Bragantino | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-23 | RB Bragantino | Flamengo | Serie A | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Flamengo | RB Bragantino | Serie A | 4-1 |
| 2022-06-08 | RB Bragantino | Flamengo | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-06 | RB Bragantino | Flamengo | Serie A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.8%, draw 18.5%, away 11.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.46 | 8.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 5.10 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 5.20 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.46 | 8.99 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.73 | 7.05 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.35 ▼ -0.02
X
5.10 ▲ +0.52
2
8.00 ▼ -0.10
20 snapshots recorded, from .