Mirassol
vs
Botafogo
2 – 0 Full time
| 16′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve | ||
| 35′ | Huguinho | ||
| 45′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve | ||
| 45′ | Álvaro MontoroEdenilson | ||
| 45′ | DaniloHakim Ziyech | ||
| 45′ | HuguinhoJúnior Santos | ||
| 61′ | Arthur CabralLucas Villalba | ||
| 67′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveShaylon Kallyson Cardozo | ||
| 76′ | Edson CariocaCarlos Eduardo | ||
| 76′ | Denilson Alves BorgesWallisson | ||
| 77′ | Cristian MedinaKauan Toledo | ||
| 89′ | Bruno Santos de OliveiraJose Roberto | ||
| 90′ | Igor FormigaDaniel Borges |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 526 | Accurate passes | 500 |
Mirassol vs Botafogo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mirassol vs Botafogo
| Probability | Mirassol | Draw | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 28.2% | 26.4% |
| Market | 46.7% | 26.4% | 26.9% |
| Final | 46.4% | 26.9% | 26.7% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
Why Mirassol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mirassol and Botafogo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Mirassol and Botafogo attack and defence ratings
Mirassol
Botafogo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mirassol vs Botafogo: result vs prediction
Mirassol 2 – 0 Botafogo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mirassol vs Botafogo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirassol | 46.4% | 2.16 | -1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirassol | 46.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Botafogo | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mirassol win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Mirassol vs Botafogo stats
Mirassol and Botafogo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mirassol and Botafogo going into this match
Mirassol record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
Botafogo record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mirassol vs Botafogo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Botafogo | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Mirassol | Botafogo | Brazil Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Botafogo | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mirassol vs Botafogo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 27.5%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.52 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.64 | 3.58 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.00 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .