Brazil Serie A
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
RB Bragantino
vs
Mirassol
1 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | João Victor Carroll Santana | ||
| 30′ | Bruno Santos de OliveiraLucas Oliveira | ||
| 45′ | Patrick Roberto da Silva CamposIsidro Pitta | ||
| 45′ | Juninho CapixabaJose Herrera | ||
| 51′ | Eduardo Sasha | ||
| 57′ | Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira AlveAlesson dos Santos Batista | ||
| 57′ | Chico KimGabriel Knesowitsch | ||
| 57′ | Edson CariocaAndré Luis | ||
| 70′ | André Luis | ||
| 72′ | Wallace YanBruno Gonçalves de Jesus | ||
| 82′ | Denilson Alves BorgesWallisson | ||
| 82′ | Eduardo SashaVinicius |
RB Bragantino
50%
Draw
27%
Mirassol
23%
Match stats
| 33 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 71 | Possession % | 29 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 547 | Accurate passes | 186 |
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RB Bragantino vs Mirassol
| Probability | RB Bragantino | Draw | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 31.2% | 29.0% |
| Market | 53.6% | 25.0% | 21.3% |
| Final | 50.2% | 26.6% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -13.9% | +6.2% | +7.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
RB Bragantino and Mirassol expected goals
RB Bragantino
1.23
Mirassol
1.01
Total expected goals: 2.24
RB Bragantino and Mirassol attack and defence ratings
RB Bragantino
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Mirassol
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol: result vs prediction
RB Bragantino 1 – 1 Mirassol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 50.2% | 1.99 | -13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 50.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Mirassol | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | RB Bragantino win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.7% |
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol stats
RB Bragantino and Mirassol recent form
| RB Bragantino |
LLDLLW |
| Mirassol |
WDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RB Bragantino and Mirassol going into this match
RB Bragantino record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mirassol record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4RB Bragantino wins
4Draws
2Mirassol wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Mirassol | RB Bragantino | Copa Do Brasil | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-23 | RB Bragantino | Mirassol | Copa Do Brasil | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Mirassol | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mirassol | RB Bragantino | Paulista - A1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Mirassol | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-05 | RB Bragantino | Mirassol | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-20 | RB Bragantino | Mirassol | Paulista - A1 | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-11 | RB Bragantino | Mirassol | Paulista - A1 | 0-0 |
| 2022-01-27 | Mirassol | RB Bragantino | Paulista - A1 | 3-1 |
| 2021-04-17 | RB Bragantino | Mirassol | Paulista - A1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 25.0%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.81 | 4.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.85 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.70 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.03 | 4.62 |
| SBO | 1.75 | 3.37 | 3.86 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 —
X
3.75 ▲ +0.17
2
4.40 ▼ -0.10
46 snapshots recorded, from .