Brazil Serie A
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Vitoria
vs
Chapecoense-sc
4 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | Erick | ||
| 22′ | Kauan Faria | ||
| 23′ | Rafael Lacerda | ||
| 44′ | Luan Cândido | ||
| 45′ | Camilo Reijers de Oliveira | ||
| 45′ | Bruno Nunes De BarrosFernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior | ||
| 53′ | Matheuzinho | ||
| 61′ | Erick | ||
| 62′ | Maurício GarcezYannick Bolasie | ||
| 62′ | Yago FelipeMiguel Carvalho Vianna | ||
| 62′ | Diego Tarzia | ||
| 66′ | Diego TarziaLucas Silva | ||
| 70′ | Giovanni AugustoBruno Matias | ||
| 74′ | Matheuzinho | ||
| 75′ | Marcio Antonio de Sousa JuniorF. Rossi | ||
| 76′ | MatheuzinhoTomás Pochettino | ||
| 76′ | Caíque GonçalvesWalace | ||
| 77′ | ErickIgnacio Laquintana | ||
| 80′ | Carlos Renê de Sousa FerreiraRenato Kayzer | ||
| 90′ | Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior |
Vitoria
56%
Draw
25%
Chapecoense-sc
19%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 447 | Accurate passes | 396 |
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc
| Probability | Vitoria | Draw | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 29.2% | 28.3% |
| Market | 61.1% | 23.1% | 15.8% |
| Final | 56.5% | 24.6% | 18.9% |
| Edge | -18.6% | +6.1% | +12.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc expected goals
Vitoria
1.40
Chapecoense-sc
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.50
Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc attack and defence ratings
Vitoria
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Chapecoense-sc
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc: result vs prediction
Vitoria 4 – 0 Chapecoense-sc
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitoria | 56.5% | 1.77 | -18.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitoria | 56.5% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Chapecoense-sc | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitoria win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc stats
Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc recent form
| Vitoria |
LDWLLL |
| Chapecoense-sc |
DLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc going into this match
Vitoria record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Chapecoense-sc record
- They have won 3 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Vitoria wins
3Draws
3Chapecoense-sc wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Chapecoense-sc | Vitoria | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Chapecoense-sc | Vitoria | Serie B | 3-1 |
| 2023-07-24 | Vitoria | Chapecoense-sc | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-17 | Vitoria | Chapecoense-sc | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2020-10-17 | Chapecoense-sc | Vitoria | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2018-10-14 | Chapecoense-sc | Vitoria | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2018-06-06 | Vitoria | Chapecoense-sc | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2017-11-16 | Chapecoense-sc | Vitoria | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2017-07-22 | Vitoria | Chapecoense-sc | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2016-10-01 | Chapecoense-sc | Vitoria | Serie A | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.1%, draw 23.1%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.18 | 6.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.10 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.05 | 5.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.16 | 6.21 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 3.66 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 ▼ -0.12
X
4.10 ▲ +0.50
2
6.00 ▲ +1.00
46 snapshots recorded, from .