Brazil Serie A
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Internacional
vs
Corinthians
2 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Vitinho | ||
| 28′ | Breno Bidon | ||
| 41′ | Kaio César | ||
| 45′ | Alexandro Bernabéi | ||
| 45′ | Breno BidonAndré | ||
| 45′ | Brian AguirrePaulo Lucas Santos de Paula | ||
| 47′ | Rodrigo Villagra | ||
| 58′ | Gustavo Henrique | ||
| 58′ | Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula | ||
| 65′ | Alexandro BernabéiMatheus Bahia | ||
| 65′ | Thiago MaiaBruno Henrique | ||
| 73′ | José Carlos Ferreira JúniorRonaldo da Silva Souza | ||
| 73′ | AlerrandroJohan Carbonero | ||
| 77′ | Alan Patrick | ||
| 79′ | Gabriel PaulistaVitinho | ||
| 80′ | André | ||
| 80′ | Yuri AlbertoGui Negão | ||
| 85′ | Rodrigo Garro | ||
| 88′ | Memphis DepayPedro Raul | ||
| 88′ | Rodrigo GarroMatheus Pereira | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel Mercado | ||
| 90′ | Gui Negão |
Internacional
43%
Draw
30%
Corinthians
27%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 28 | Possession % | 72 |
| 3 | Corners | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 175 | Accurate passes | 531 |
Internacional vs Corinthians overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional vs Corinthians
| Probability | Internacional | Draw | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.3% | 30.7% | 22.0% |
| Market | 41.5% | 29.9% | 28.6% |
| Final | 43.0% | 30.1% | 26.9% |
| Edge | +5.8% | +0.8% | -6.6% |
Why Internacional
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Internacional below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Internacional and Corinthians expected goals
Internacional
1.34
Corinthians
0.83
Total expected goals: 2.17
Internacional and Corinthians attack and defence ratings
Internacional
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Corinthians
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Internacional vs Corinthians: result vs prediction
Internacional 2 – 1 Corinthians
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Internacional vs Corinthians markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 43.0% | 2.33 | +5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 43.0% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Corinthians | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.8% |
| No | 57.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Internacional vs Corinthians stats
Internacional and Corinthians recent form
| Internacional |
LWLLLD |
| Corinthians |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional and Corinthians going into this match
Internacional record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Corinthians record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional vs Corinthians head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Internacional wins
4Draws
2Corinthians wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Corinthians | Internacional | Copa Do Brasil | 2-1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Internacional | Corinthians | Copa Do Brasil | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Corinthians | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Internacional | Corinthians | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Corinthians | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 4-2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Corinthians | Internacional | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2024-06-20 | Internacional | Corinthians | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-02 | Corinthians | Internacional | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-05 | Internacional | Corinthians | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Corinthians | Internacional | Serie A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Internacional vs Corinthians odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 29.9%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.18 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.08 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.17 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 2.94 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.27 ▲ +0.17
X
3.15 ▼ -0.05
2
3.30 ▼ -0.14
46 snapshots recorded, from .