Santos
vs
Flamengo
2 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | Gonzalo Escobar | ||
| 34′ | Gustavo Henrique | ||
| 36′ | Álvaro Barreal | ||
| 41′ | Pedro | ||
| 43′ | Danilo Luiz da Silva | ||
| 45′ | Lucas Paquetá | ||
| 45′ | Álvaro BarrealRony | ||
| 45′ | Philippe CoutinhoNeymar da Silva Santos Júnior | ||
| 53′ | Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior | ||
| 55′ | Lucas Paquetá | ||
| 57′ | Christian Oliva | ||
| 61′ | Rodinei | ||
| 66′ | Gustavo HenriqueBenjamín Rollheiser | ||
| 69′ | Jorge CarrascalGonzalo Plata | ||
| 69′ | Gonzalo EscobarLuan Peres | ||
| 69′ | Lucas PaquetáSaúl Ñíguez | ||
| 79′ | Jorginho | ||
| 81′ | Samuel LinoLuiz Araújo | ||
| 81′ | PedroBruno Henrique | ||
| 82′ | Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior | ||
| 85′ | Bruno Henrique | ||
| 88′ | Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior | ||
| 90′ | Emerson Royal |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 337 | Accurate passes | 430 |
Santos vs Flamengo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santos vs Flamengo
| Probability | Santos | Draw | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 29.5% | 39.0% |
| Market | 21.7% | 25.0% | 53.3% |
| Final | 24.1% | 26.1% | 49.7% |
| Edge | +9.8% | +4.5% | -14.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Santos and Flamengo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Santos and Flamengo attack and defence ratings
Santos
Flamengo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Santos vs Flamengo: result vs prediction
Santos 2 – 2 Flamengo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Santos vs Flamengo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 49.7% | 2.01 | -14.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos | 24.1% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Flamengo | 49.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Santos vs Flamengo stats
Santos and Flamengo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santos and Flamengo going into this match
Santos record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flamengo record
- They have won 18 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santos vs Flamengo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Flamengo | Santos | Brazil Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Flamengo | Santos | Brazil Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Santos | Flamengo | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Flamengo | Santos | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-06-25 | Santos | Flamengo | Serie A | 2-3 |
| 2022-10-26 | Flamengo | Santos | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2022-07-02 | Santos | Flamengo | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2021-12-06 | Flamengo | Santos | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Santos | Flamengo | Serie A | 0-4 |
| 2020-12-13 | Flamengo | Santos | Serie A | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santos vs Flamengo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 25.0%, away 53.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38 | 3.86 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.70 | 1.87 |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 3.74 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 4.64 | 3.92 | 1.77 |
| SBO | 3.48 | 3.23 | 1.82 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
48 snapshots recorded, from .