Brazil Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 29

Remo vs Gremio

1 – 1 Full time

10′Vitor Bueno
20′Cristian Pavón
27′Dodi
35′Gabriel Taliari
45′Antonio Galeano
45′Walter Kannemann
45′Francis AmuzuJosé Enamorado
57′José Enamorado
59′Cristian PavónTetê
59′Carlos ViníciusMartin Braithwaite
61′Leonel PiccoEduardo Melo
69′Glaybson Yago Souza LisboaJandir Breno Souza Silva
71′DodiJuan Nardoni
81′Vitor BuenoPatrick Bezerra do Nascimento
81′Antonio GaleanoDavid Francisco·Trindade Braga
82′João Pedro
87′Danilo Barbosa da SilvaBernardo Zortea
88′David Francisco·Trindade Braga

Mangueirao, BelemReferee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Remo 45%
Draw 28%
Gremio 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 5
62 Possession % 38
10 Corners 4
11 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 8
508 Accurate passes 294

Remo vs Gremio overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Remo vs Gremio

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRemoDrawGremio
Model38.1%30.6%31.3%
Market47.0%26.9%26.1%
Final44.8%27.8%27.4%
Edge-8.9%+3.7%+5.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Remo ↓ / Gremio → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Remo and Gremio expected goals

Remo 1.24
Gremio 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.35

Remo and Gremio attack and defence ratings

Remo

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Gremio

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Remo vs Gremio: result vs prediction

Remo 1 – 1 Gremio

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Brazil Serie A

Before and after this match

Remo vs Gremio markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Remo 44.8% 2.23 -8.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.3% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Remo44.8%
Draw27.8%
Gremio27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.7%
Under 2.558.3%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.2%
Handicap -1Remo win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.9%
1-010.6%

Remo vs Gremio stats

Remo and Gremio recent form

newest first
Remo LLLLLD
Gremio DLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Remo and Gremio going into this match

league record before kick-off

Remo record

  • They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gremio record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Remo vs Gremio head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Remo wins 1Draws 0Gremio wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05GremioRemoBrazil Serie A0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Remo vs Gremio odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 26.9%, away 26.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.59 3.72
Bet365 1.95 3.50 4.00
BetVictor 2.00 3.50 3.60
Betano 2.02 3.45 3.85
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.60
Marathonbet 1.96 3.48 3.60
Pinnacle 2.00 3.67 3.83
SBO 2.05 3.13 3.10
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.50
X 3.50 ▲ +0.28
2 3.60 ▲ +0.91

46 snapshots recorded, from .