Vasco DA Gama
vs
Remo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vasco DA Gama
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Remo
| Probability | Vasco DA Gama | Draw | Remo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76.4% | 17.0% | 6.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 76.4% | 17.0% | 6.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vasco DA Gama
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo match preview
Vasco DA Gama enters this match against Remo with a strong probability of winning at 77%. Their recent form shows three wins in their last five matches, alongside a draw and a loss, indicating a solid performance. The expected goals for Vasco DA Gama stand at 2.37, suggesting they are likely to create significant scoring opportunities.
In contrast, Remo has struggled recently, with five consecutive losses followed by a draw, resulting in an expected goal tally of just 0.57. The model indicates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is at 40%. Historically, the last encounter between these teams ended in a draw, with no wins for either side.
Vasco DA Gama and Remo team news
Vasco DA Gama news
- Brenner — knee injury
- Bruno Duarte — injury
- C. Cuesta — inactive
- Mateus Carvalho — knee injury
Remo news
- A. Galeano — yellow cards
- D. Tchamba — inactive
- Joao Lucas — knee injury
- Matheus Felipe — inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasco DA Gama and Remo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Vasco DA Gama and Remo attack and defence ratings
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasco DA Gama | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vasco DA Gama win | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasco DA Gama | 76.4% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| Remo | 6.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.3% |
| No | 59.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasco DA Gama win | 53.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 23.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 3-0 | 11.6% |
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo stats
Vasco DA Gama and Remo recent form
| Vasco DA Gama |
WWWWDL |
| Remo |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasco DA Gama and Remo season so far
Vasco DA Gama record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Remo record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasco DA Gama vs Remo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Remo | Vasco DA Gama | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-19 | Vasco DA Gama | Remo | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2021-08-14 | Remo | Vasco DA Gama | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2016-04-28 | Vasco DA Gama | Remo | Copa Do Brasil | 2-1 |
| 2016-04-14 | Remo | Vasco DA Gama | Copa Do Brasil | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.