Brazil Serie A · 2026-10-13T00:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 30

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro

4 – 2 Full time

10′			Guzman Rodriguez
13′			Lucas Henrique Barbosa
18′			William
20′			Kaio Jorge
28′			Ryan Augusto
30′			Eric Ramires
43′			Zé Lucas
45′			WilliamFabrício Bruno
45′			Gabriel RojasMatías Viña
58′			Gustavo Marques Alves dos SantosEduardo Santos
63′			João MarceloWesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
63′			Zé LucasMatheus Henrique
65′			Wallace YanMatheus Fernandes
66′			Eduardo SashaIsidro Pitta
66′			Eric RamiresGabriel Girotto
77′			Felipe Morais
78′			Felipe MoraisBruno Rodrigues
81′			Lucas Henrique BarbosaJose Herrera
89′			Matheus Henrique
90′			Jose Herrera

Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, BraganzaReferee: Savio Pereira Sampaio

RB Bragantino

41%

Draw

27%

Cruzeiro

32%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

20	Shots	25
10	Shots on target	13
31	Possession %	69
7	Corners	6
12	Fouls	12
1	Offsides	5
11	Saves	7
188	Accurate passes	501

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	RB Bragantino	Draw	Cruzeiro
Model	29.2%	30.2%	40.6%
Market	44.4%	26.5%	29.1%
Final	40.6%	27.4%	31.9%
Edge	-3.8%	+0.9%	+2.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

89%

2+ goals

70%

3+ goals

42%

No goals

11%

RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro expected goals

RB Bragantino

1.07

Cruzeiro

1.31

Total expected goals: 2.38

RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro attack and defence ratings

RB Bragantino

Attack

0.75 -25%

Defence

0.99 -1%

Cruzeiro

Attack

1.25 +25%

Defence

0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: result vs prediction

RB Bragantino 4 – 2 Cruzeiro

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Brazil Serie A

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Sao Paulo v Vitoria — match page · 2026-10-11
Atletico-MG vs Santos — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Palmeiras vs Corinthians · 2026-10-11
Flamengo vs Fluminense — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Gremio vs Internacional · 2026-10-11
Bahia vs Mirassol — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Coritiba vs Botafogo · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

RB Bragantino, previous: RB Bragantino vs Mirassol: odds and pick
RB Bragantino, next: Remo vs RB Bragantino: odds and pick
Cruzeiro, previous: Cruzeiro – Sao Paulo, 2026-10-08
Cruzeiro, next: Gremio vs Cruzeiro: odds and pick

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	RB Bragantino	40.6%	2.46	-3.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	57.6%	1.74	—	—
Both teams to score	No	50.8%	1.97	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.6%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	70.9%	1.41	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	RB Bragantino	40.6%
	Draw	27.4%
	Cruzeiro	31.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	42.4%
	Under 2.5	57.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	49.2%
	No	50.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	68.1%
	12 (either side)	72.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.4%
Handicap -1	RB Bragantino win	11.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.4%
	Loss	70.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.3%
	0-1	10.8%
	0-0	10.6%

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro stats

RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro recent form

newest first

RB Bragantino	DLLDLL
Cruzeiro	WWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro going into this match

league record before kick-off

RB Bragantino record

They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cruzeiro record

They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1RB Bragantino wins 3Draws 6Cruzeiro wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-12	Cruzeiro	RB Bragantino	Brazil Serie A	2-1
2025-09-21	Cruzeiro	RB Bragantino	Brazil Serie A	2-1
2025-04-20	RB Bragantino	Cruzeiro	Brazil Serie A	1-0
2025-03-22	RB Bragantino	Cruzeiro	Friendlies Clubs	1-1
2024-12-01	RB Bragantino	Cruzeiro	Serie A	1-1
2024-07-13	Cruzeiro	RB Bragantino	Serie A	2-1
2023-09-03	Cruzeiro	RB Bragantino	Serie A	0-0
2023-04-29	RB Bragantino	Cruzeiro	Serie A	0-3
2023-03-29	RB Bragantino	Cruzeiro	Friendlies Clubs	2-3
2023-03-29	Cruzeiro	RB Bragantino	Friendlies Clubs	3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 26.5%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.18	3.57	3.30
Bet365	2.15	3.40	3.40
BetVictor	2.10	3.60	3.20
Betano	2.15	3.55	3.35
Betfair	2.05	3.70	3.20
Dafabet	2.18	3.60	3.30
Marathonbet	2.11	3.46	3.20
Pinnacle	2.14	3.69	3.33
SBO	2.08	3.20	2.80
William Hill	2.10	3.30	3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.02

X 3.56 ▲ +0.06

2 3.25 —

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-07T08:10:01Z.