RB Bragantino
vs
Cruzeiro
Garuda Lions Prediction: RB Bragantino
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
| Probability | RB Bragantino | Draw | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.1% | 30.2% | 40.8% |
| Market | 44.0% | 26.9% | 29.1% |
| Final | 40.3% | 27.7% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -15.0% | +3.3% | +11.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro match preview
RB Bragantino faces Cruzeiro in a Brazil Serie A matchup with kickoff set for October 13, 2026. The model indicates that RB Bragantino has a 41% chance of winning, while Cruzeiro has a 31% chance, and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 9%. Both teams show a moderate likelihood of scoring, with a 52% chance for both teams to find the net, and a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, RB Bragantino has struggled with four losses in their last five matches, while Cruzeiro has a mixed record, winning two of their last five. Historically, in their last three encounters, RB Bragantino has one win, while Cruzeiro has claimed two victories. The expected goals are close, with RB Bragantino at 1.21 and Cruzeiro at 1.28, suggesting a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro attack and defence ratings
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 40.3% | 2.48 | -15.0% | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 40.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Cruzeiro | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | RB Bragantino win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 70.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro stats
RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro recent form
| RB Bragantino |
DLLDLL |
| Cruzeiro |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro season so far
RB Bragantino record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cruzeiro record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Cruzeiro | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Cruzeiro | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | RB Bragantino | Cruzeiro | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 26.9%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.61 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.70 | 3.23 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.17 | 2.86 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .