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Brazil Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 27

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional

1 – 2 Full time

25′Bruno Henrique
42′Rafael Lacerda
44′Johan Carbonero
45′Maurício Garcez
45′Marcio Antonio de Sousa Junior
45′Paulo César Pezzolano Suárez
49′Eduardo Vinicius Domachowski
64′Camilo Reijers de Oliveira
65′Bruno Henriquejoao victor
65′Miguel Carvalho ViannaYannick Bolasie
67′Johan Carbonero
74′joao victor
75′Yannick Bolasie
76′Yago FelipeRubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi
76′Everton Souza da CruzBruno Matias
78′Bruno Gomes
85′Bruno GomesJosé Carlos Ferreira Júnior
85′Johan CarboneroNiclas Eliasson
90′João Paulo
90′Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior
90′Rodrigo Villagra
90′Bruno PachecoFernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior
90′Camilo Reijers de OliveiraDylan Borrero
90′Paulo Lucas Santos de PaulaRonaldo da Silva Souza
90′Alan PatrickAntonio Sanabria

Arena Condá, ChapecoReferee: Flavio Rodrigues De Souza

Chapecoense-sc 34%
Draw 27%
Internacional 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
63 Possession % 37
4 Corners 2
19 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 1
441 Accurate passes 220

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChapecoense-scDrawInternacional
Model48.4%26.4%25.2%
Market29.0%27.7%43.3%
Final33.9%27.4%38.7%
Edge+19.4%-1.3%-18.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chapecoense-sc ↓ / Internacional → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Chapecoense-sc and Internacional expected goals

Chapecoense-sc 1.68
Internacional 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.83

Chapecoense-sc and Internacional attack and defence ratings

Chapecoense-sc

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Internacional

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional: result vs prediction

Chapecoense-sc 1 – 2 Internacional

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Brazil Serie A

Before and after this match

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Internacional 38.7% 2.58 -18.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.9% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.8% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chapecoense-sc33.9%
Draw27.4%
Internacional38.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.9%
No43.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.3%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.1%
Handicap -1Internacional win10.4%
Push (exactly one goal)14.8%
Loss74.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.6%
1-08.7%

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional stats

Chapecoense-sc and Internacional recent form

newest first
Chapecoense-sc WLWDLL
Internacional LLLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chapecoense-sc and Internacional going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chapecoense-sc record

  • They have won 3 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Internacional record

  • They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Chapecoense-sc wins 1Draws 5Internacional wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22InternacionalChapecoense-scBrazil Serie A2-0
2021-10-10InternacionalChapecoense-scSerie A5-2
2021-06-24Chapecoense-scInternacionalSerie A1-2
2019-09-22InternacionalChapecoense-scSerie A1-0
2019-04-27Chapecoense-scInternacionalSerie A2-0
2018-09-17Chapecoense-scInternacionalSerie A2-1
2018-05-21InternacionalChapecoense-scSerie A3-0
2016-08-15Chapecoense-scInternacionalSerie A1-0
2016-05-15InternacionalChapecoense-scSerie A0-0
2015-11-19Chapecoense-scInternacionalSerie A1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 27.7%, away 43.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.42 3.42 2.19
Bet365 3.40 3.30 2.20
BetVictor 3.25 3.50 2.10
Betano 3.25 3.40 2.25
Betfair 3.00 3.40 2.20
Marathonbet 3.32 3.32 2.13
Pinnacle 3.47 3.42 2.18
SBO 3.00 3.18 2.16
William Hill 3.20 3.10 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.25 ▲ +0.45
X 3.40 ▲ +0.20
2 2.18 ▼ -0.27

16 snapshots recorded, from .