Sao Paulo
vs
RB Bragantino
2 – 1 Full time
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
| Probability | Sao Paulo | Draw | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 35.0% | 30.9% |
| Market | 41.8% | 28.9% | 29.3% |
| Final | 39.9% | 30.4% | 29.7% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +6.0% | +1.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.85
Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino attack and defence ratings
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino: result vs prediction
Sao Paulo 2 – 1 RB Bragantino
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sao Paulo | 39.9% | 2.51 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sao Paulo | 39.9% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| RB Bragantino | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sao Paulo win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.6% |
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino stats
Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino recent form
| Sao Paulo |
LWDDLD |
| RB Bragantino |
WDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino going into this match
Sao Paulo record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
RB Bragantino record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | RB Bragantino | Sao Paulo | Brazil Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Sao Paulo | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-17 | RB Bragantino | Sao Paulo | Brazil Serie A | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 28.9%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.24 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.95 | 2.86 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .