RB Bragantino
vs
Gremio
1 – 0 Full time
RB Bragantino vs Gremio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RB Bragantino vs Gremio
| Probability | RB Bragantino | Draw | Gremio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 29.2% | 19.1% |
| Market | 58.6% | 23.7% | 17.7% |
| Final | 56.8% | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| Edge | -6.9% | +5.5% | +1.4% |
Why RB Bragantino
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.79.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RB Bragantino and Gremio expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
RB Bragantino and Gremio attack and defence ratings
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
RB Bragantino vs Gremio: result vs prediction
RB Bragantino 1 – 0 Gremio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
RB Bragantino vs Gremio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 56.8% | 1.76 | -6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Bragantino | 56.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Gremio | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | RB Bragantino win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
RB Bragantino vs Gremio stats
RB Bragantino and Gremio recent form
| RB Bragantino |
DDLLWD |
| Gremio |
LWWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RB Bragantino and Gremio going into this match
RB Bragantino record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
Gremio record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
RB Bragantino vs Gremio head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Gremio | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | RB Bragantino | Gremio | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Gremio | RB Bragantino | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RB Bragantino vs Gremio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 23.7%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.01 | 5.50 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.90 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.12 | 5.65 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.61 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.64 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .