Internacional
vs
Gremio
0 – 0 Full time
Internacional vs Gremio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional vs Gremio
| Probability | Internacional | Draw | Gremio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.4% | 29.5% | 25.1% |
| Market | 49.3% | 28.9% | 21.9% |
| Final | 48.3% | 29.0% | 22.7% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +0.7% | +3.3% |
Why Internacional
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.98.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Internacional and Gremio expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Internacional and Gremio attack and defence ratings
Internacional
Gremio
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Internacional vs Gremio: result vs prediction
Internacional 0 – 0 Gremio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Internacional vs Gremio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 48.3% | 2.07 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 48.3% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Gremio | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Internacional vs Gremio stats
Internacional and Gremio recent form
| Internacional |
DDDLWD |
| Gremio |
LLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional and Gremio going into this match
Internacional record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Gremio record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional vs Gremio head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Internacional | Gremio | Brazil Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Internacional | Gremio | Gaúcho - 1 | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gremio | Internacional | Gaúcho - 1 | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Internacional | Gremio | Gaúcho - 1 | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Internacional | Gremio | Brazil Serie A | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-20 | Gremio | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Internacional | Gremio | Gaúcho - 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gremio | Internacional | Gaúcho - 1 | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Gremio | Internacional | Gaúcho - 1 | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Internacional | Gremio | Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Internacional vs Gremio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 28.9%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.22 | 4.43 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.35 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.18 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.28 | 4.61 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.00 | 3.66 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .