Vitoria
vs
Vasco DA Gama
0 – 2 Full time
| 51′ | Cacá | ||
| 61′ | MatheusinhoFabiano | ||
| 61′ | Diego TarziaCarlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira | ||
| 66′ | AdsonFacundo Colidio | ||
| 72′ | Claudio SpinelliDavid | ||
| 72′ | Ramon Rique Santos De Souza BarrosTchê Tchê | ||
| 73′ | CacáMarinho | ||
| 76′ | Luan Cândido | ||
| 78′ | Jose Luis Rodriguez | ||
| 81′ | Andrés Gómez | ||
| 82′ | WalaceOsvaldo | ||
| 82′ | RamonEdenilson | ||
| 85′ | Lucas PitonLucas Freitas | ||
| 85′ | Andrés GómezMarino Hinestroza | ||
| 90′ | Jose Luis Rodriguez |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 368 | Accurate passes | 190 |
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama
| Probability | Vitoria | Draw | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 29.5% | 47.8% |
| Market | 40.6% | 29.2% | 30.2% |
| Final | 36.1% | 29.3% | 34.6% |
| Edge | -17.8% | +0.2% | +17.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama attack and defence ratings
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: result vs prediction
Vitoria 0 – 2 Vasco DA Gama
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitoria | 36.1% | 2.77 | -17.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitoria | 36.1% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Vasco DA Gama | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitoria win | 8.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 77.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 12.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama stats
Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama recent form
| Vitoria |
LLLWLW |
| Vasco DA Gama |
WWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama going into this match
Vitoria record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasco DA Gama record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Vasco DA Gama | Vitoria | Copa Do Brasil | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Vitoria | Vasco DA Gama | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Vasco DA Gama | Vitoria | Brazil Serie A | 4-3 |
| 2025-05-10 | Vitoria | Vasco DA Gama | Brazil Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Vitoria | Vasco DA Gama | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Vasco DA Gama | Vitoria | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2021-11-11 | Vasco DA Gama | Vitoria | Serie B | 0-3 |
| 2021-08-07 | Vitoria | Vasco DA Gama | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2018-09-09 | Vitoria | Vasco DA Gama | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-13 | Vasco DA Gama | Vitoria | Serie A | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 29.2%, away 30.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.18 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.34 | 3.12 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.18 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .