Internacional
vs
Atletico-MG
0 – 0 Full time
Internacional vs Atletico-MG overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional vs Atletico-MG
| Probability | Internacional | Draw | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 31.7% | 39.4% |
| Market | 46.0% | 29.5% | 24.5% |
| Final | 41.8% | 30.0% | 28.2% |
| Edge | -17.0% | +2.2% | +14.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Internacional and Atletico-MG expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Internacional and Atletico-MG attack and defence ratings
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Internacional vs Atletico-MG: result vs prediction
Internacional 0 – 0 Atletico-MG
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Internacional vs Atletico-MG markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 41.8% | 2.39 | -17.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional | 41.8% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Atletico-MG | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 71.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.5% | |
| 0-1 | 12.1% |
Internacional vs Atletico-MG stats
Internacional and Atletico-MG recent form
| Internacional |
DDLWDL |
| Atletico-MG |
DWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional and Atletico-MG going into this match
Internacional record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico-MG record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional vs Atletico-MG head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Atletico-MG | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Internacional | Atletico-MG | Brazil Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Atletico-MG | Internacional | Brazil Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Internacional vs Atletico-MG odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 29.1%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.08 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.27 | 3.99 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.15 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.18 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.27 | 4.15 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.02 | 3.45 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.20 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .