Cruzeiro
vs
Flamengo
2 – 1 Full time
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
| Probability | Cruzeiro | Draw | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 30.7% | 32.2% |
| Market | 30.2% | 28.8% | 41.0% |
| Final | 31.9% | 29.2% | 38.8% |
| Edge | +6.9% | +1.9% | -8.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cruzeiro and Flamengo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Cruzeiro and Flamengo attack and defence ratings
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: result vs prediction
Cruzeiro 2 – 1 Flamengo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flamengo | 38.8% | 2.58 | -8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruzeiro | 31.9% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Flamengo | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flamengo win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.4% |
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo stats
Cruzeiro and Flamengo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cruzeiro and Flamengo going into this match
Cruzeiro record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flamengo record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Flamengo | Cruzeiro | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2-1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Cruzeiro | Flamengo | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Flamengo | Cruzeiro | Brazil Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Flamengo | Cruzeiro | Brazil Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Cruzeiro | Flamengo | Brazil Serie A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 28.6%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
| 1xBet | 3.21 | 3.37 | 2.30 |
| 888Sport | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.35 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.28 | 2.24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27 | 3.39 | 2.31 |
| SBO | 2.93 | 3.04 | 2.28 |
| Superbet | 3.15 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .