Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 24

Juventude vs CRB

2 – 1 Full time

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do SulReferee: D. C. Muniz dos Santos

Juventude 43%
Draw 32%
CRB 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Juventude vs CRB overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juventude vs CRB

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuventudeDrawCRB
Model43.7%36.1%20.2%
Market42.9%31.1%26.0%
Final43.1%32.3%24.6%
Edge+0.8%+5.0%-5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Juventude

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.03 vs 0.61.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Juventude ↓ / CRB → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 11% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 21%

Juventude and CRB expected goals

Juventude 1.03
CRB 0.61

Total expected goals: 1.64

Juventude and CRB attack and defence ratings

Juventude

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.53 -47%

CRB

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juventude vs CRB: result vs prediction

Juventude 2 – 1 CRB

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Juventude vs CRB markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juventude 43.1% 2.32 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.3% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score No 69.4% 1.44 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.3% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Juventude43.1%
Draw32.3%
CRB24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.7%
Under 2.577.3%
Both teams to scoreYes30.6%
No69.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)67.7%
X2 (draw or away)56.9%
Handicap -1Juventude win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss56.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.6%
1-018.7%
1-113.4%

Juventude vs CRB stats

Juventude and CRB recent form

newest first
Juventude WDWLDW
CRB WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juventude and CRB going into this match

league record before kick-off

Juventude record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 18 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CRB record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Juventude vs CRB head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Juventude wins 0Draws 3CRB wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18CRBJuventudeBrazil Serie B0-1
2023-09-16JuventudeCRBSerie B3-1
2023-05-27CRBJuventudeSerie B1-2
2020-11-08CRBJuventudeSerie B0-1
2020-09-23CRBJuventudeCopa Do Brasil1-0
2020-09-17JuventudeCRBCopa Do Brasil2-0
2020-08-08JuventudeCRBSerie B2-1
2018-11-06CRBJuventudeSerie B2-0
2018-07-21JuventudeCRBSerie B1-0
2017-11-07CRBJuventudeSerie B2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juventude vs CRB odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 31.1%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.00 3.45
1xBet 2.17 3.00 3.58
Bet365 2.10 3.00 3.80
BetVictor 2.05 3.00 3.40
Betano 2.27 3.10 3.80
Betfair 2.10 2.90 3.75
Dafabet 2.23 3.05 3.65
Marathonbet 2.15 3.00 3.56
Pinnacle 2.17 3.14 3.86
SBO 2.21 2.78 3.15
Superbet 2.20 2.95 3.50
Unibet 2.06 3.10 3.75
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.17 ▲ +0.27
X 3.00 ▼ -0.26
2 3.58 ▼ -0.57

10 snapshots recorded, from .