Ponte Preta
vs
Avai
0 – 2 Full time
Ponte Preta vs Avai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ponte Preta vs Avai
| Probability | Ponte Preta | Draw | Avai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 24.8% | 57.4% |
| Market | 20.5% | 28.1% | 51.3% |
| Final | 19.9% | 27.3% | 52.8% |
| Edge | -2.7% | -3.4% | +6.0% |
Why Avai
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Avai below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ponte Preta and Avai expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Ponte Preta and Avai attack and defence ratings
Ponte Preta
Avai
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ponte Preta vs Avai: result vs prediction
Ponte Preta 0 – 2 Avai
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Ceara v Londrina — match page
- Cuiaba vs Goias — team news & stats
- São Bernardo v Nautico Recife — match page
- Operario-PR vs Vila Nova — team news & stats
- Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC
- Sport Recife v America Mineiro — match page
- Athletic Club vs Novorizontino — team news & stats
- Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP
Before and after this match
Ponte Preta vs Avai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avai | 52.8% | 1.89 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ponte Preta | 19.9% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Avai | 52.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avai win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 0-2 | 10.5% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
Ponte Preta vs Avai stats
Ponte Preta and Avai recent form
| Ponte Preta |
LDLDLL |
| Avai |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ponte Preta and Avai going into this match
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Avai record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ponte Preta vs Avai head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Avai | Ponte Preta | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ponte Preta vs Avai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.7%, draw 28.2%, away 51.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.30 | 3.10 | 1.94 |
| 1xBet | 4.60 | 3.20 | 1.84 |
| 888Sport | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.45 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.50 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.20 | 1.82 |
| Pinnacle | 5.09 | 3.34 | 1.83 |
| SBO | 3.86 | 3.16 | 1.81 |
| Superbet | 4.35 | 3.35 | 1.80 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 3.35 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.10 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .