Ceara
vs
Londrina
2 – 1 Full time
Ceara vs Londrina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ceara vs Londrina
| Probability | Ceara | Draw | Londrina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 29.4% | 30.5% |
| Market | 50.3% | 27.2% | 22.4% |
| Final | 47.8% | 27.8% | 24.4% |
| Edge | -10.2% | +2.2% | +8.0% |
Why Ceara
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ceara and Londrina expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Ceara and Londrina attack and defence ratings
Ceara
Londrina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ceara vs Londrina: result vs prediction
Ceara 2 – 1 Londrina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ceara vs Londrina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ceara | 47.8% | 2.09 | -10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ceara | 47.8% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Londrina | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ceara win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Ceara vs Londrina stats
Ceara and Londrina recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ceara and Londrina going into this match
Ceara record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Londrina record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Ceara vs Londrina head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Londrina | Ceara | Brazil Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ceara vs Londrina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 27.3%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.42 | 4.15 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.55 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.42 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.50 | 4.52 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.20 | 3.76 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 3.55 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .