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Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 24

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP

3 – 0 Full time

Estádio Antônio Accioly, GoiâniaReferee: W. do Nascimento

Atletico Goianiense 42%
Draw 32%
Botafogo SP 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico GoianienseDrawBotafogo SP
Model35.3%33.7%30.9%
Market43.7%30.8%25.5%
Final41.6%31.5%26.9%
Edge-8.3%+2.9%+5.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Goian ↓ / Botafogo SP → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Atletico Goianiense and Botafogo SP expected goals

Atletico Goianiense 1.03
Botafogo SP 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.98

Atletico Goianiense and Botafogo SP attack and defence ratings

Atletico Goianiense

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Botafogo SP

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP: result vs prediction

Atletico Goianiense 3 – 0 Botafogo SP

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Goianiense 41.6% 2.40 -8.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.7% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Goianiense41.6%
Draw31.5%
Botafogo SP26.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.7%
Under 2.568.3%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.1%
12 (either side)68.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.4%
Handicap -1Atletico Goianiense win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss64.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.2%
1-114.9%
1-012.9%

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP stats

Atletico Goianiense and Botafogo SP recent form

newest first
Atletico Goianiense DLDWWD
Botafogo SP DWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Goianiense and Botafogo SP going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Goianiense record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Botafogo SP record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Atletico Goianiense wins 4Draws 2Botafogo SP wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19Botafogo SPAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B1-1
2025-08-10Atletico GoianienseBotafogo SPBrazil Serie B2-0
2025-04-13Botafogo SPAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B1-1
2023-09-16Botafogo SPAtletico GoianienseSerie B1-0
2023-05-27Atletico GoianienseBotafogo SPSerie B1-1
2019-10-17Botafogo SPAtletico GoianienseSerie B0-0
2019-07-23Atletico GoianienseBotafogo SPSerie B1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 30.8%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.12 3.10 3.70
1xBet 2.12 3.02 3.70
888Sport 2.05 2.90 3.80
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.60
BetVictor 2.05 3.00 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.05 3.80
Betfair 2.10 3.10 3.60
Dafabet 2.20 3.05 3.70
Marathonbet 2.10 3.02 3.68
Pinnacle 2.19 3.12 3.82
SBO 2.18 2.83 3.14
Superbet 2.15 3.00 3.55
Unibet 2.05 3.15 3.75
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.09
X 3.05 ▼ -0.01
2 3.68 ▼ -0.12

10 snapshots recorded, from .