Botafogo SP
vs
Cuiaba
1 – 2 Full time
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba
| Probability | Botafogo SP | Draw | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 31.4% | 31.5% |
| Market | 44.4% | 31.1% | 24.5% |
| Final | 42.6% | 31.2% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -7.3% | +0.4% | +6.9% |
Why Botafogo SP
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Botafogo SP and Cuiaba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Botafogo SP and Cuiaba attack and defence ratings
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba: result vs prediction
Botafogo SP 1 – 2 Cuiaba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botafogo SP | 42.6% | 2.35 | -7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botafogo SP | 42.6% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Cuiaba | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botafogo SP win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.2% |
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba stats
Botafogo SP and Cuiaba recent form
| Botafogo SP |
LDWWLW |
| Cuiaba |
DWWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botafogo SP and Cuiaba going into this match
Botafogo SP record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cuiaba record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Cuiaba | Botafogo SP | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Botafogo SP | Cuiaba | Brazil Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-01 | Cuiaba | Botafogo SP | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 31.1%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 2.99 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.05 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 2.99 | 3.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.06 | 3.94 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.87 | 3.37 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.05 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.88 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .