Fortaleza EC
vs
Operario-PR
1 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Tomás Cardona | ||
| 23′ | Moraes Júnior | ||
| 30′ | Mailton | ||
| 33′ | A. Torres | ||
| 46′ | MoraesGabriel Feliciano | ||
| 64′ | Lucas SashaRodrigo | ||
| 65′ | RodriguinhoLucas Crispim | ||
| 65′ | A. TorresMaxwell | ||
| 74′ | H. PereiraAylon | ||
| 79′ | Luiz FernandoWelliton | ||
| 79′ | Pedro HenriquePaulo Baya | ||
| 83′ | Vinicius DinizIndio | ||
| 83′ | PabloVinicius Mingotti | ||
| 90′ | Mauricio JuniorHenrique Kaio |
Match stats
| 31 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 503 | Accurate passes | 311 |
Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR
| Probability | Fortaleza EC | Draw | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
| Market | 53.3% | 27.4% | 19.3% |
| Final | 52.5% | 27.8% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
Why Fortaleza EC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortaleza EC and Operario-PR expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Fortaleza EC and Operario-PR attack and defence ratings
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR: result vs prediction
Fortaleza EC 1 – 1 Operario-PR
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza EC | 52.5% | 1.91 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza EC | 52.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Operario-PR | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortaleza EC win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR stats
Fortaleza EC and Operario-PR recent form
| Fortaleza EC |
WDDDWL |
| Operario-PR |
DLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortaleza EC and Operario-PR going into this match
Fortaleza EC record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Operario-PR record
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Operario-PR | Fortaleza EC | Brazil Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 27.4%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.36 | 4.83 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.45 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.36 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.55 | 5.09 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.10 | 4.08 |
| Superbet | 1.76 | 3.35 | 4.60 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.25 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .