Brazil Serie B · 2026-09-06T14:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 26

Londrina vs Operario-PR

1 – 2 Full time

5′			Hildeberto Pereira
22′			Maguinho
22′			Gilberto
22′			Hildeberto Pereira
29′			Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia
40′			Kevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa
46′			Caio César Rodrigues SouzaThalis
46′			William PottkerHebert
46′			bezerro vitor joaoChumbinho
59′			Joao Coni
61′			Kevyn Lucas Ramos da CostaHeron
64′			Joseph
69′			Ángel Torres
69′			Thalis
77′			Joao Coniresende fellipe
77′			Hildeberto PereiraAylon
77′			Pablo FelipeCaio Dantas
77′			Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes RodriguesGabriel Feliciano da Silva
78′			Gilberto
84′			dantas guilherme
84′			Ángel TorresEmaxwell Souza de Lima
85′			Gabriel Boschilia
87′			Vinícius Diniz Dall AntoniaParaiba
87′			Aylon
90′			Gabriel Boschilia

Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias, LondrinaReferee: B. Arleu

Londrina

38%

Draw

31%

Operario-PR

30%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

22	Shots	17
5	Shots on target	4
58	Possession %	42
7	Corners	3
17	Fouls	24
1	Offsides	0
2	Saves	4
367	Accurate passes	244

Londrina vs Operario-PR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Londrina vs Operario-PR

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Londrina	Draw	Operario-PR
Model	40.2%	30.8%	29.0%
Market	37.8%	31.3%	30.9%
Final	38.4%	31.2%	30.4%
Edge	+2.5%	-0.5%	-1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Londrina

The market prices Londrina below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

89%

2+ goals

68%

3+ goals

40%

No goals

11%

Londrina and Operario-PR expected goals

Londrina

1.26

Operario-PR

1.03

Total expected goals: 2.30

Londrina and Operario-PR attack and defence ratings

Londrina

Attack

0.86 -14%

Defence

1.05 +5%

Operario-PR

Attack

1.03 +3%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Londrina vs Operario-PR: result vs prediction

Londrina 1 – 2 Operario-PR

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP · 2026-09-03
Criciuma v Cuiaba — match page · 2026-09-04
Athletic Club vs Vila Nova — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
CRB vs America Mineiro · 2026-09-05
Goias v Fortaleza EC — match page · 2026-09-05
Novorizontino vs Avai — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Juventude vs Atletico Goianiense · 2026-09-05
Ceara v Sport Recife — match page · 2026-09-05

Before and after this match

Londrina, previous: Londrina vs Juventude prediction
Londrina, next: São Bernardo vs Londrina: odds and pick
Operario-PR, previous: Fortaleza EC vs Operario-PR: odds and pick
Operario-PR, next: Operario-PR vs CRB prediction

Londrina vs Operario-PR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Londrina	38.4%	2.60	+2.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	59.7%	1.68	—	—
Both teams to score	No	52.5%	1.91	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.6%	1.44	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.8%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Londrina	38.4%
	Draw	31.2%
	Operario-PR	30.4%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	40.3%
	Under 2.5	59.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	47.5%
	No	52.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.6%
	12 (either side)	68.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.6%
Handicap -1	Londrina win	18.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.7%
	Loss	59.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.4%
	1-0	11.4%
	0-0	11.4%

Londrina vs Operario-PR stats

Londrina and Operario-PR recent form

newest first

Londrina	DLDLLL
Operario-PR	DDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Londrina and Operario-PR going into this match

league record before kick-off

Londrina record

They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Operario-PR record

They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Londrina vs Operario-PR head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Londrina wins 3Draws 3Operario-PR wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-03	Operario-PR	Londrina	Brazil Serie B	3-0
2026-03-18	Londrina	Operario-PR	Copa Do Brasil	0-1
2026-03-07	Londrina	Operario-PR	Paranaense - 1	0-0
2026-02-28	Operario-PR	Londrina	Paranaense - 1	0-0
2026-01-07	Londrina	Operario-PR	Paranaense - 1	2-0
2025-03-18	Londrina	Operario-PR	Paranaense - 1	1-2
2025-03-15	Operario-PR	Londrina	Paranaense - 1	0-1
2025-01-29	Operario-PR	Londrina	Paranaense - 1	0-1
2024-01-18	Operario-PR	Londrina	Paranaense - 1	0-0
2023-01-26	Londrina	Operario-PR	Paranaense - 1	3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Londrina vs Operario-PR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 30.7%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.30	3.15	3.15
1xBet	2.48	2.96	3.06
Bet365	2.55	3.00	3.00
BetVictor	2.38	3.00	2.80
Betano	2.30	3.15	3.30
Betfair	2.25	3.30	3.10
Dafabet	2.27	3.25	3.30
Marathonbet	2.46	2.96	3.04
Pinnacle	2.60	3.02	3.10
SBO	2.19	2.96	2.80
Superbet	2.22	3.15	3.20
Unibet	2.38	3.30	2.85
William Hill	2.45	2.90	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.47 ▲ +0.09

X 2.98 ▼ -0.27

2 3.02 ▲ +0.14

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-31T08:10:02Z.