Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 26

Criciuma vs Cuiaba

2 – 0 Full time

19′Willean Lepo
29′Bruno Alves
46′Fabio GomesRodrigo Rodrigues
46′ElielKauan Cristtyan
53′Joao Basso
62′R. OteroEduardo
62′Igor InocencioRamon
62′Jean DiasVinicius Peixoto
72′Alan EmpereurWeverson
75′WaguininhoYuri Tanque
75′Gui LoboRomarinho
81′Eduardo Biasi
84′Ronald LopesThiaguinho
84′Diego GoncalvesJoao Carlos

Estádio Heriberto Hülse, CriciúmaReferee: M. Delgado

Criciuma 45%
Draw 32%
Cuiaba 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 0
50 Possession % 50
4 Corners 2
16 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
338 Accurate passes 340

Criciuma vs Cuiaba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Criciuma vs Cuiaba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCriciumaDrawCuiaba
Model33.9%35.2%31.0%
Market48.5%30.4%21.1%
Final44.9%31.6%23.5%
Edge-14.7%+4.8%+9.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Criciuma ↓ / Cuiaba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 13% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Criciuma and Cuiaba expected goals

Criciuma 0.94
Cuiaba 0.89

Total expected goals: 1.83

Criciuma and Cuiaba attack and defence ratings

Criciuma

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Cuiaba

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Criciuma vs Cuiaba: result vs prediction

Criciuma 2 – 0 Cuiaba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Criciuma vs Cuiaba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Criciuma 44.9% 2.23 -14.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.1% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 62.7% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Criciuma44.9%
Draw31.6%
Cuiaba23.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.9%
Under 2.572.1%
Both teams to scoreYes37.3%
No62.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.5%
12 (either side)68.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1Criciuma win12.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.3%
1-114.8%
1-013.7%

Criciuma vs Cuiaba stats

Criciuma and Cuiaba recent form

newest first
Criciuma LLDWLD
Cuiaba WDWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Criciuma and Cuiaba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Criciuma record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Cuiaba record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Criciuma vs Cuiaba head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Criciuma wins 2Draws 4Cuiaba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02CuiabaCriciumaBrazil Serie B1-1
2025-11-23CuiabaCriciumaBrazil Serie B1-0
2025-07-29CriciumaCuiabaBrazil Serie B1-0
2024-08-31CuiabaCriciumaSerie A2-1
2024-06-09CriciumaCuiabaSerie A2-5
2019-08-31CuiabaCriciumaSerie B0-0
2019-04-27CriciumaCuiabaSerie B0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Criciuma vs Cuiaba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.5%, draw 30.4%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.15 4.45
1xBet 1.90 3.05 4.56
Bet365 2.00 3.00 4.50
BetVictor 1.85 3.00 4.20
Betano 2.05 3.15 4.60
Betfair 1.91 3.10 4.20
Dafabet 2.01 3.05 4.40
Marathonbet 1.94 3.02 4.30
Pinnacle 2.04 3.13 4.33
SBO 1.89 2.82 3.76
Superbet 1.87 3.10 4.50
Unibet 1.85 3.10 4.70
William Hill 1.95 2.90 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.05
X 3.05 ▼ -0.10
2 4.40 ▼ -0.30

10 snapshots recorded, from .