Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
CRB
vs
America Mineiro
3 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Crystopher Ribeiro | ||
| 45′ | Barreto | ||
| 46′ | Alex SilvaFabio | ||
| 52′ | Mikael | ||
| 54′ | Reverson Paiva | ||
| 63′ | Julio CesarF. Elizari | ||
| 63′ | Guilherme ParedeR. Pineiro | ||
| 66′ | Vinicius BarataJoao Neto | ||
| 67′ | MikaelDouglas Baggio | ||
| 69′ | Kevin | ||
| 72′ | Rafa BarcelosL. Sosa | ||
| 75′ | Otavio Goncalves | ||
| 76′ | KevinHereda | ||
| 76′ | Pedro CastroGeovane | ||
| 79′ | Tobias Ostchega | ||
| 79′ | Otavio GoncalvesJorge Jimenez | ||
| 81′ | Willian Bigode | ||
| 88′ | DanielzinhoEstevao |
CRB
63%
Draw
23%
America Mineiro
14%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 420 | Accurate passes | 389 |
CRB vs America Mineiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CRB vs America Mineiro
| Probability | CRB | Draw | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.5% | 22.4% | 12.1% |
| Market | 62.8% | 22.7% | 14.5% |
| Final | 63.5% | 22.6% | 13.9% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.3% | -2.4% |
Why CRB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices CRB below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
CRB and America Mineiro expected goals
CRB
1.98
America Mineiro
0.73
Total expected goals: 2.71
CRB and America Mineiro attack and defence ratings
CRB
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.96 -4%
America Mineiro
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.33 +33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CRB vs America Mineiro: result vs prediction
CRB 3 – 1 America Mineiro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
CRB vs America Mineiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 63.5% | 1.58 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 63.5% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| America Mineiro | 13.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 41.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 34.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 1-1 | 10.6% |
CRB vs America Mineiro stats
CRB and America Mineiro recent form
| CRB |
WLWDWW |
| America Mineiro |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CRB and America Mineiro going into this match
CRB record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
America Mineiro record
- They have won 3 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CRB vs America Mineiro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2CRB wins
2Draws
6America Mineiro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | America Mineiro | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | America Mineiro | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-27 | CRB | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | CRB | America Mineiro | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-06-15 | America Mineiro | CRB | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2020-12-26 | America Mineiro | CRB | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-28 | CRB | America Mineiro | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-03 | America Mineiro | CRB | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2019-06-08 | CRB | America Mineiro | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2017-11-25 | America Mineiro | CRB | Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CRB vs America Mineiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.8%, draw 22.7%, away 14.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.45 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.25 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.43 | 6.73 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 3.64 | 5.22 |
| Superbet | 1.51 | 3.90 | 5.85 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.48 ▼ -0.20
X
4.10 ▲ +0.40
2
6.40 ▲ +1.50
10 snapshots recorded, from .