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Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 26

Goias vs Fortaleza EC

0 – 1 Full time

13′Luiz Felipe
15′Luiz Felipe Clemente de AlmeidaRamon Menezes
16′PierreRyan Gustavo de Lima
40′Maurício Mucuri
42′Tomás Cardona
45′Vitor Ferreira
45′Maurício MucuriKaio Henrique
48′Luis Fellipe Campos Doria
50′Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza
59′Jean CarlosCarlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
59′Luis Fellipe Campos DoriaMarcos Vinicius
60′João Paulo Ferreira LourençoWellington Rato
70′Juan MiritelloRodrigo Oliveira dos Santos
71′Rodrigo Henrique Santos De SouzaPaulo Baya
73′Filipe MachadoGeirton Marques Aires
78′Pedro Henrique
84′Pedro HenriqueWelliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus
89′Marcos Vinicius
90′Lucas Rodrigues

Estádio da Serrinha, GoianiaReferee: R. Claus

Goias 36%
Draw 33%
Fortaleza EC 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
5 Corners 2
12 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 2
383 Accurate passes 439

Goias vs Fortaleza EC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Goias vs Fortaleza EC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGoiasDrawFortaleza EC
Model36.2%34.2%29.6%
Market36.4%32.4%31.2%
Final36.3%32.9%30.8%
Edge-0.2%+1.8%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goias ↓ / Fortaleza EC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Goias and Fortaleza EC expected goals

Goias 1.02
Fortaleza EC 0.90

Total expected goals: 1.92

Goias and Fortaleza EC attack and defence ratings

Goias

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Fortaleza EC

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Goias vs Fortaleza EC: result vs prediction

Goias 0 – 1 Fortaleza EC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Goias vs Fortaleza EC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Goias 36.3% 2.75 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.8% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score No 60.7% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.2% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Goias36.3%
Draw32.9%
Fortaleza EC30.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.2%
Under 2.569.8%
Both teams to scoreYes39.3%
No60.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.2%
12 (either side)67.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.7%
Handicap -1Goias win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.0%
1-114.8%
1-013.6%

Goias vs Fortaleza EC stats

Goias and Fortaleza EC recent form

newest first
Goias WDLLWL
Fortaleza EC DWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Goias and Fortaleza EC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Goias record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fortaleza EC record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Goias vs Fortaleza EC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Goias wins 2Draws 6Fortaleza EC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Fortaleza ECGoiasBrazil Serie B4-1
2023-12-03Fortaleza ECGoiasSerie A1-0
2023-08-05GoiasFortaleza ECSerie A1-0
2022-10-01GoiasFortaleza ECSerie A0-1
2022-06-09Fortaleza ECGoiasSerie A1-1
2020-11-26Fortaleza ECGoiasSerie A1-1
2020-08-19GoiasFortaleza ECSerie A1-3
2019-12-01GoiasFortaleza ECSerie A1-2
2019-09-01Fortaleza ECGoiasSerie A2-0
2018-09-01GoiasFortaleza ECSerie B3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Goias vs Fortaleza EC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 31.9%, away 31.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 2.98 3.00
1xBet 2.57 2.85 3.00
Bet365 2.60 2.90 3.00
BetVictor 2.45 2.90 2.80
Betano 2.55 2.92 3.05
Betfair 2.50 3.10 2.88
Dafabet 2.55 3.00 3.05
Marathonbet 2.55 2.85 2.97
Pinnacle 2.67 2.92 3.11
SBO 2.32 2.82 2.73
Superbet 2.52 2.92 2.95
Unibet 2.35 3.05 3.10
William Hill 2.50 2.75 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.56 ▲ +0.21
X 2.88 ▼ -0.23
2 2.99 ▼ -0.11

12 snapshots recorded, from .