Nautico Recife
vs
Botafogo SP
1 – 0 Full time
| 56′ | B. BorasiKauan Maranhao | ||
| 56′ | Jean CarlosJunior Todinho | ||
| 64′ | Arthur CaikeKelvin | ||
| 64′ | Wesley SantosZe Hugo | ||
| 69′ | Arnaldo | ||
| 70′ | ArnaldoReginaldo | ||
| 70′ | DerekLuiz Claudio | ||
| 75′ | Patrick Brey | ||
| 77′ | Luiz Claudio | ||
| 80′ | WendersonAuremir | ||
| 82′ | EricsonLeandro Maciel | ||
| 82′ | Rafael GavaThiago Moraes | ||
| 82′ | HygorGuilherme Queiroz | ||
| 90′ | Kaua Almeida da Costa |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP
| Probability | Nautico Recife | Draw | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 30.2% | 25.3% |
| Market | 47.4% | 28.4% | 24.2% |
| Final | 46.7% | 28.8% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
Why Nautico Recife
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP attack and defence ratings
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP: result vs prediction
Nautico Recife 1 – 0 Botafogo SP
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 46.7% | 2.14 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 46.7% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Botafogo SP | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nautico Recife win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP stats
Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP recent form
| Nautico Recife |
WDWDDD |
| Botafogo SP |
LLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP going into this match
Nautico Recife record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Botafogo SP record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Botafogo SP | Nautico Recife | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-13 | Botafogo SP | Nautico Recife | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2020-09-13 | Nautico Recife | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 28.4%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 3.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.28 | 3.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.40 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.28 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.38 | 4.16 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 2.93 | 3.14 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.30 | 3.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .