Goias
vs
São Bernardo
2 – 1 Full time
Goias vs São Bernardo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Goias vs São Bernardo
| Probability | Goias | Draw | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.6% | 31.4% | 28.0% |
| Market | 49.8% | 28.6% | 21.7% |
| Final | 47.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% |
| Edge | -9.2% | +2.9% | +6.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Goias and São Bernardo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Goias and São Bernardo attack and defence ratings
Goias
São Bernardo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Goias vs São Bernardo: result vs prediction
Goias 2 – 1 São Bernardo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Goias vs São Bernardo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 47.5% | 2.11 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 47.5% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| São Bernardo | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Goias win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-0 | 12.2% |
Goias vs São Bernardo stats
Goias and São Bernardo recent form
| Goias |
DLLWLD |
| São Bernardo |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Goias and São Bernardo going into this match
Goias record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Goias vs São Bernardo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | São Bernardo | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Goias vs São Bernardo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 28.6%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.87 | 3.25 | 4.35 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.26 | 4.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.26 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.29 | 4.49 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 2.95 | 3.50 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.15 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.35 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .