Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 25

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense

0 – 1 Full time

45′Luiz Henrique
46′Leo ChuGabriel Cipriano
58′Guilherme AquinoIsaias
58′Henrique FreitasBruno Jose
58′Geovany SoaresGustavo Maia
64′Junior Barreto
67′Gustavo CoutinhoJoao Pedro
69′F. VizeuLeo Gamalho
70′Luiz HenriqueWenderson
77′Leandro VilelaCristiano
78′PeixotoNetinho
81′Jean LucasHyan
90′Bruno Jose

Estádio da Ressacada, FlorianópolisReferee: L. Bellote

Avai 36%
Draw 31%
Atletico Goianiense 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
7 Corners 7
18 Fouls 10
2 Saves 6
240 Accurate passes 366

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Avai vs Atletico Goianiense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAvaiDrawAtletico Goianiense
Model36.8%32.8%30.4%
Market36.3%30.8%32.9%
Final36.4%31.3%32.3%
Edge+0.5%+2.0%-2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Avai

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Avai ↓ / Atletico Goian → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Avai and Atletico Goianiense expected goals

Avai 1.10
Atletico Goianiense 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.08

Avai and Atletico Goianiense attack and defence ratings

Avai

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Atletico Goianiense

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense: result vs prediction

Avai 0 – 1 Atletico Goianiense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Avai 36.4% 2.74 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.6% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score No 57.1% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.7% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.1% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Avai36.4%
Draw31.3%
Atletico Goianiense32.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.4%
Under 2.565.6%
Both teams to scoreYes42.9%
No57.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.7%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)63.6%
Handicap -1Avai win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss63.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.9%
1-012.4%

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense stats

Avai and Atletico Goianiense recent form

newest first
Avai WWWLLW
Atletico Goianiense WDLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Avai and Atletico Goianiense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Avai record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Goianiense record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Avai wins 1Draws 2Atletico Goianiense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Atletico GoianienseAvaiBrazil Serie B2-1
2025-09-16Atletico GoianienseAvaiBrazil Serie B2-1
2025-05-10AvaiAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Avai vs Atletico Goianiense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.3%, draw 30.8%, away 32.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.54 3.05 2.88
1xBet 2.57 2.99 2.81
Bet365 2.55 3.20 2.80
BetVictor 2.45 3.00 2.75
Betano 2.55 3.10 2.92
Betfair 2.50 3.00 2.80
Dafabet 2.60 3.10 2.95
Marathonbet 2.57 2.99 2.81
Pinnacle 2.59 3.02 2.97
SBO 2.30 2.89 2.70
Unibet 2.65 3.05 2.70
William Hill 2.50 2.88 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.11
X 3.01 ▼ -0.01
2 2.81 ▲ +0.11

5 snapshots recorded, from .