America Mineiro
vs
Ponte Preta
2 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | Otavio GoncalvesF. Elizari | ||
| 46′ | Guilherme ParedeR. Pineiro | ||
| 47′ | Willian Bigode | ||
| 59′ | R. Pineiro | ||
| 64′ | Miguel MoraisC. Coelho | ||
| 64′ | R. AndradeThevyn | ||
| 68′ | Nicolas AraujoC. Vinicius | ||
| 71′ | Paulo VictorMarcelo Macola | ||
| 79′ | Julio CesarG. Italo | ||
| 79′ | Juan RodriguesG. Cicala | ||
| 83′ | Gustavo BarretoJorge Jimenez | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel Cicala |
Match stats
| 35 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 79 | Possession % | 21 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 10 |
| 635 | Accurate passes | 112 |
America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta
| Probability | America Mineiro | Draw | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.7% | 27.0% | 19.3% |
| Market | 74.2% | 18.2% | 7.6% |
| Final | 69.1% | 20.4% | 10.5% |
| Edge | -20.5% | +8.8% | +11.7% |
Why America Mineiro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
America Mineiro and Ponte Preta expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
America Mineiro and Ponte Preta attack and defence ratings
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta: result vs prediction
America Mineiro 2 – 0 Ponte Preta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America Mineiro | 69.1% | 1.45 | -20.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America Mineiro | 69.1% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Ponte Preta | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | America Mineiro win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 46.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta stats
America Mineiro and Ponte Preta recent form
| America Mineiro |
LLLLWL |
| Ponte Preta |
LLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America Mineiro and Ponte Preta going into this match
America Mineiro record
- They have won 3 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Ponte Preta | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.2%, draw 18.2%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.26 | 5.10 | 12.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 5.35 | 12.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.00 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 5.10 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 5.60 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.35 | 12.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 5.37 | 9.76 |
| SBO | 1.23 | 4.81 | 8.30 |
| Unibet | 1.29 | 5.10 | 10.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.80 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .