Cuiaba
vs
Athletic Club
3 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | Fabio Gomes | ||
| 59′ | David Miguel de Souza ArcanjoWesley Dias Claudino | ||
| 59′ | Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do CarmoEliel Chrystian | ||
| 62′ | Jhonatan | ||
| 65′ | Yago Santos de AndradeRedney | ||
| 65′ | Enzo Henrique dos SantosOtavio Bruno Dos Santos | ||
| 65′ | Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesGian Franco Cabezas Rodriguez | ||
| 69′ | Jean Dias da Costa | ||
| 70′ | Fabio GomesVinicius Peixoto | ||
| 70′ | Jean Dias da CostaRamon de Araujo Silva Moutinho | ||
| 70′ | Maswel Ananias SilvaJhan Pool Torres Cañete | ||
| 73′ | Carlos Moisés de LimaYarlen Faustino Augusto | ||
| 84′ | Igor | ||
| 86′ | IgorRailan Ferreira |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 407 | Accurate passes | 500 |
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cuiaba vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Cuiaba | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 29.1% | 31.7% |
| Market | 49.4% | 30.1% | 20.5% |
| Final | 46.8% | 29.9% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -10.2% | -1.0% | +11.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cuiaba and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Cuiaba and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction
Cuiaba 3 – 0 Athletic Club
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuiaba | 46.8% | 2.14 | -10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuiaba | 46.8% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Athletic Club | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cuiaba win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club stats
Cuiaba and Athletic Club recent form
| Cuiaba |
LWDWWD |
| Athletic Club |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cuiaba and Athletic Club going into this match
Cuiaba record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Athletic Club record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Athletic Club | Cuiaba | Brazil Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Cuiaba | Athletic Club | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Athletic Club | Cuiaba | Brazil Serie B | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 30.1%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.15 | 4.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.12 | 4.60 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 2.90 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.20 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.15 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.06 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.18 | 4.93 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 2.91 | 3.96 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.05 | 4.40 |
| Unibet | 1.88 | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.90 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .