Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
São Bernardo
vs
Londrina
1 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Caio César Rodrigues Souza | ||
| 16′ | ParáMário Sérgio Valerio | ||
| 43′ | Foguinho | ||
| 45′ | William PottkerJoao Coni | ||
| 46′ | Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos | ||
| 60′ | Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesLéo Jabá | ||
| 60′ | Pedro Vitor Ferreira da SilvaDaniel Amorim | ||
| 65′ | Caio César Rodrigues Souza | ||
| 68′ | Caio César Rodrigues SouzaTárik Michel Kedes Boschetti | ||
| 68′ | Nino ParaíbaKaue Leonardo De Souza Prado | ||
| 74′ | Tárik Michel Kedes Boschetti | ||
| 75′ | Felipe GarciaLucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva | ||
| 75′ | FoguinhoFabrício Daniel | ||
| 82′ | HeronArtur | ||
| 82′ | Guilherme Maciel DantasJoão Vitor | ||
| 89′ | Léo Jabá |
São Bernardo
53%
Draw
27%
Londrina
20%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 304 | Accurate passes | 171 |
São Bernardo vs Londrina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: São Bernardo vs Londrina
| Probability | São Bernardo | Draw | Londrina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.0% | 27.0% | 21.1% |
| Market | 53.2% | 26.5% | 20.2% |
| Final | 52.9% | 26.6% | 20.4% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% |
Why São Bernardo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
São Bernardo and Londrina expected goals
São Bernardo
1.64
Londrina
0.97
Total expected goals: 2.60
São Bernardo and Londrina attack and defence ratings
São Bernardo
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Londrina
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
São Bernardo vs Londrina: result vs prediction
São Bernardo 1 – 2 Londrina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
São Bernardo vs Londrina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | São Bernardo | 52.9% | 1.89 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | São Bernardo | 52.9% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Londrina | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | São Bernardo win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
São Bernardo vs Londrina stats
São Bernardo and Londrina recent form
| São Bernardo |
WLDDLW |
| Londrina |
LDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
São Bernardo and Londrina going into this match
São Bernardo record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Londrina record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
São Bernardo vs Londrina head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1São Bernardo wins
3Draws
1Londrina wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Londrina | São Bernardo | Brazil Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-11 | Londrina | São Bernardo | Serie C | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | São Bernardo | Londrina | Serie C | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-05 | São Bernardo | Londrina | Serie C | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Londrina | São Bernardo | Serie C | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
São Bernardo vs Londrina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.7%, draw 26.6%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.81 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.58 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.65 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.55 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.17 | 3.98 |
| Superbet | 1.78 | 3.45 | 4.40 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.50 | 4.35 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 ▼ -0.07
X
3.50 ▲ +0.10
2
4.59 ▲ +0.25
6 snapshots recorded, from .