Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Londrina
vs
Ponte Preta
6 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | André da Silva Lima | ||
| 23′ | Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira | ||
| 30′ | Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado | ||
| 42′ | Guilherme Maciel Dantas | ||
| 45′ | Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos | ||
| 45′ | Kaue Leonardo De Souza PradoNino Paraíba | ||
| 55′ | Miguel Morais Silva SantosJulio De Oliveira | ||
| 55′ | Murilo Henrique CavalcanteEmanuell Silva Ferreira | ||
| 59′ | Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira | ||
| 64′ | Caio César Rodrigues Souza | ||
| 65′ | Tárik Michel Kedes BoschettiLucas Marques | ||
| 65′ | Joao ConiGuilherme Cachoeira Silveira | ||
| 66′ | HeronArtur | ||
| 66′ | Danilo BarcelosRodrigo·Souza | ||
| 66′ | David da HoraDenis | ||
| 75′ | Herbert Mateus Almeida De OliveiraVictor Hugo de Faria Mota | ||
| 81′ | Victor Hugo de Faria Mota | ||
| 85′ | João Vitor de Souza Martins |
Londrina
73%
Draw
18%
Ponte Preta
9%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 412 | Accurate passes | 261 |
Londrina vs Ponte Preta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Londrina vs Ponte Preta
| Probability | Londrina | Draw | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76.8% | 17.3% | 6.0% |
| Market | 71.2% | 18.5% | 10.3% |
| Final | 72.6% | 18.2% | 9.2% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
Why Londrina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Londrina below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
7%
Londrina and Ponte Preta expected goals
Londrina
2.25
Ponte Preta
0.50
Total expected goals: 2.75
Londrina and Ponte Preta attack and defence ratings
Londrina
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Ponte Preta
Attack
0.47 -53%
Defence
1.76 +76%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Londrina vs Ponte Preta: result vs prediction
Londrina 6 – 0 Ponte Preta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma — team news & stats
- Juventude vs Athletic Club
- Fortaleza EC v Ceara — match page
- Novorizontino vs Cuiaba — team news & stats
- America Mineiro vs São Bernardo
- Botafogo SP v Goias — match page
- Avai vs Vila Nova — team news & stats
- Nautico Recife v Operario-PR — match page
Before and after this match
Londrina vs Ponte Preta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 72.6% | 1.38 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Londrina win | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 72.6% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Ponte Preta | 9.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.9% |
| No | 64.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Londrina win | 53.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 23.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 3-0 | 12.2% |
Londrina vs Ponte Preta stats
Londrina and Ponte Preta recent form
| Londrina |
WLDLDL |
| Ponte Preta |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Londrina and Ponte Preta going into this match
Londrina record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 2 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Londrina vs Ponte Preta head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Londrina wins
1Draws
5Ponte Preta wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | Brazil Serie B | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | Serie C | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Londrina | Ponte Preta | Serie C | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | Serie C | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-25 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-14 | Londrina | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-24 | Londrina | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2022-06-11 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2021-11-15 | Londrina | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-11 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Londrina vs Ponte Preta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.2%, draw 18.5%, away 10.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.05 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 4.60 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 5.30 | 9.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 5.49 | 8.98 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 4.72 | 7.62 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.30 ▲ +0.01
X
5.00 —
2
9.00 ▼ -1.25
8 snapshots recorded, from .