Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Sport Recife
vs
Ponte Preta
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | JuanCarlos María de Pena Bonino | ||
| 24′ | Matheus Souza Santos | ||
| 25′ | Diego Monteiro Leao | ||
| 27′ | LUCAS CUNHA | ||
| 35′ | Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida | ||
| 45′ | Julio De OliveiraGustavo Lopes Teles | ||
| 57′ | Edson Lucas Pereira | ||
| 64′ | BielPatrick de Paula Carreiro | ||
| 64′ | Zé GabrielWillian Oliveira | ||
| 66′ | Murilo Henrique CavalcanteJoão Victor Damião Dos Santos | ||
| 74′ | Pedro Henrique PerottiDudu Teodora | ||
| 74′ | Diego·HernandezFernando Sobral | ||
| 83′ | Miguel Morais Silva SantosThevyn Dos Anjos Souza | ||
| 83′ | Danilo BarcelosJuan Rodrigues Leopoldino | ||
| 84′ | Willian Oliveira | ||
| 90′ | David da HoraVitor Ribeiro Fernandes |
Sport Recife
82%
Draw
13%
Ponte Preta
6%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 534 | Accurate passes | 246 |
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta
| Probability | Sport Recife | Draw | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.5% | 13.6% | 4.9% |
| Market | 81.7% | 12.1% | 6.2% |
| Final | 81.7% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +1.4% | -1.3% |
Why Sport Recife
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Sport Recife and Ponte Preta expected goals
Sport Recife
2.68
Ponte Preta
0.56
Total expected goals: 3.23
Sport Recife and Ponte Preta attack and defence ratings
Sport Recife
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Ponte Preta
Attack
0.52 -48%
Defence
1.78 +78%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta: result vs prediction
Sport Recife 2 – 0 Ponte Preta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Recife | 81.7% | 1.22 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Recife win | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Recife | 81.7% |
| Draw | 12.5% | |
| Ponte Preta | 5.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Recife win | 61.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 18.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.1% |
| 3-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta stats
Sport Recife and Ponte Preta recent form
| Sport Recife |
LLWLWW |
| Ponte Preta |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sport Recife and Ponte Preta going into this match
Sport Recife record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Sport Recife wins
4Draws
1Ponte Preta wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | Brazil Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-17 | Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | Serie B | 0-4 |
| 2024-07-27 | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-09 | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 3-3 |
| 2023-06-11 | Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-07 | Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-03 | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2019-11-21 | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2019-08-24 | Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2017-08-13 | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | Serie A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.3%, draw 12.5%, away 6.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 6.75 | 13.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 7.60 | 18.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.15 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.12 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 7.20 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 8.40 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 7.60 | 18.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 8.00 | 14.25 |
| Superbet | 1.14 | 7.60 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.16 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.13 ▼ -0.06
X
7.60 ▲ +1.20
2
15.00 ▲ +2.00
8 snapshots recorded, from .