Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
CRB
vs
Sport Recife
2 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | Matheus Simonete Bressanelli | ||
| 16′ | Crystopher | ||
| 30′ | Daniel Sampaio Simões | ||
| 30′ | Carlos María de Pena Bonino | ||
| 45′ | KevinDiogo Hereda da Silva | ||
| 45′ | Diego·HernandezDudu Teodora | ||
| 45′ | BielFernando Sobral | ||
| 45′ | Marcelo AjulAugusto Pucci De Freitas | ||
| 54′ | Crystopher | ||
| 62′ | MikaelJoao Batista da Cruz Santos Neto | ||
| 62′ | Vinicius Barata Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues | ||
| 66′ | Edson Lucas PereiraPatrick de Paula Carreiro | ||
| 76′ | Daniel Sampaio SimõesGeovane | ||
| 81′ | Pedro CastroLuizão | ||
| 83′ | Zé GabrielNeto Pessoa | ||
| 84′ | Geovane | ||
| 86′ | Fernando Sobral | ||
| 89′ | Diogo Hereda da Silva | ||
| 90′ | Patrick de Paula Carreiro |
CRB
45%
Draw
28%
Sport Recife
27%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 343 | Accurate passes | 453 |
CRB vs Sport Recife overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CRB vs Sport Recife
| Probability | CRB | Draw | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 27.4% | 29.6% |
| Market | 46.2% | 27.8% | 26.0% |
| Final | 45.4% | 27.7% | 26.9% |
| Edge | -3.3% | -0.4% | +3.7% |
Why CRB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.24.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
CRB and Sport Recife expected goals
CRB
1.54
Sport Recife
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.78
CRB and Sport Recife attack and defence ratings
CRB
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Sport Recife
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CRB vs Sport Recife: result vs prediction
CRB 2 – 1 Sport Recife
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
CRB vs Sport Recife markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 45.4% | 2.20 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 45.4% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Sport Recife | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
CRB vs Sport Recife stats
CRB and Sport Recife recent form
| CRB |
LWWLWD |
| Sport Recife |
WLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CRB and Sport Recife going into this match
CRB record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Sport Recife record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CRB vs Sport Recife head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4CRB wins
1Draws
5Sport Recife wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sport Recife | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-06 | Sport Recife | CRB | Copa do Nordeste | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Sport Recife | CRB | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-12 | CRB | Sport Recife | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-29 | Sport Recife | CRB | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-05 | CRB | Sport Recife | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-26 | Sport Recife | CRB | Copa do Nordeste | 4-0 |
| 2022-09-03 | CRB | Sport Recife | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-24 | Sport Recife | CRB | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-27 | Sport Recife | CRB | Copa do Nordeste | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CRB vs Sport Recife odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 27.8%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.32 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.32 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.46 | 3.71 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.31 | 3.56 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▲ +0.17
X
3.32 ▼ -0.12
2
3.56 ▼ -0.68
8 snapshots recorded, from .