Avai
vs
Vila Nova
1 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Willian Prado Camargo | ||
| 30′ | André Luís | ||
| 38′ | Daniel Penha | ||
| 54′ | Douglas da Silva Teixeira | ||
| 63′ | Everton GaldinoEmerson | ||
| 63′ | Marquinhos GabrielRaphael Guimarães de Paula | ||
| 64′ | Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraIsaias Pereira Da Silva | ||
| 65′ | Jean Lucas FigueiredoGabriel Cipriano | ||
| 65′ | Rildo Goncalves de Amorin FilhoFilipe Gabriel Rios Rodrigues | ||
| 68′ | Gabriel SimplesWenderson | ||
| 82′ | JandersonRyan lima | ||
| 87′ | Douglas MendesWillian Maranhão | ||
| 87′ | Willian Prado CamargoTiago Pagnussat |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 357 | Accurate passes | 464 |
Avai vs Vila Nova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avai vs Vila Nova
| Probability | Avai | Draw | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 30.0% | 34.9% |
| Market | 35.4% | 30.5% | 34.2% |
| Final | 35.3% | 30.4% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -0.3% | -0.4% | +0.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Avai and Vila Nova expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.43
Avai and Vila Nova attack and defence ratings
Avai
Vila Nova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avai vs Vila Nova: result vs prediction
Avai 1 – 1 Vila Nova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Avai vs Vila Nova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avai | 35.3% | 2.83 | -0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avai | 35.3% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Vila Nova | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avai win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Avai vs Vila Nova stats
Avai and Vila Nova recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Avai and Vila Nova going into this match
Avai record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vila Nova record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Avai vs Vila Nova head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Vila Nova | Avai | Brazil Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Vila Nova | Avai | Brazil Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Avai | Vila Nova | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Avai | Vila Nova | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2024-07-14 | Vila Nova | Avai | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Vila Nova | Avai | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-04 | Avai | Vila Nova | Serie B | 0-3 |
| 2021-08-25 | Vila Nova | Avai | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2021-06-06 | Avai | Vila Nova | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-07 | Avai | Vila Nova | Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Avai vs Vila Nova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 30.5%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.04 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.04 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 3.18 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 2.88 | 2.63 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .