Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Goias
vs
Avai
2 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Jean Lucas Figueiredo | ||
| 35′ | Daniel Penha | ||
| 42′ | Gabriel Simples | ||
| 45′ | Luiz Felipe | ||
| 45′ | Rildo Goncalves de Amorin FilhoGaspar | ||
| 45′ | Pedro Junqueira de OliveiraLuiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida | ||
| 45′ | Gabriel SimplesWallison | ||
| 51′ | Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino | ||
| 58′ | Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraLéo Gamalho | ||
| 59′ | Zé RicardoLuiz Henrique | ||
| 59′ | Guilherme Baldoria de CamargoLucas Lima | ||
| 67′ | Jean Carlos | ||
| 68′ | Jean Carlos | ||
| 68′ | Luis Fellipe Campos DoriaRodrigo Soares | ||
| 68′ | Djalma SilvaNicolas Vichiatto Da Silva | ||
| 79′ | Allyson Aires Dos SantosVinicius Miguel Immig | ||
| 80′ | Lucas Ribeiro | ||
| 86′ | Jean CarlosDanilo Cunha | ||
| 87′ | Reynaldo Cesar Moraes | ||
| 88′ | Nicolas Vichiatto Da Silva | ||
| 90′ | Wallison |
Goias
47%
Draw
30%
Avai
22%
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 438 | Accurate passes | 293 |
Goias vs Avai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Goias vs Avai
| Probability | Goias | Draw | Avai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 32.5% | 23.9% |
| Market | 48.6% | 29.6% | 21.8% |
| Final | 47.4% | 30.3% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +2.9% | +2.0% |
Why Goias
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.82.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
15%
Goias and Avai expected goals
Goias
1.20
Avai
0.82
Total expected goals: 2.02
Goias and Avai attack and defence ratings
Goias
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Avai
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Goias vs Avai: result vs prediction
Goias 2 – 1 Avai
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Goias vs Avai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 47.4% | 2.11 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 47.4% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Avai | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Goias win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 14.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Goias vs Avai stats
Goias and Avai recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Goias and Avai going into this match
Goias record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Avai record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Goias vs Avai head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Goias wins
1Draws
4Avai wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Avai | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Avai | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-05 | Goias | Avai | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Goias | Avai | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-28 | Avai | Goias | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Goias | Avai | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-25 | Avai | Goias | Serie A | 3-2 |
| 2021-09-21 | Avai | Goias | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2021-06-22 | Goias | Avai | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2019-11-03 | Goias | Avai | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Goias vs Avai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 29.6%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.14 | 4.27 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.35 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.14 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.30 | 4.34 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 2.96 | 3.74 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.91 ▲ +0.06
X
3.14 ▼ -0.08
2
4.25 ▼ -0.20
12 snapshots recorded, from .