Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Sport Recife
vs
Juventude
2 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Fabio lima | ||
| 32′ | Mandaca | ||
| 45′ | Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida | ||
| 45′ | Kervin AndradeMarlon Douglas | ||
| 47′ | Safira | ||
| 53′ | Lucas Mineiro | ||
| 55′ | Raí Lopes de Oliveira | ||
| 60′ | Lucas MineiroLuan Martins·Goncalves | ||
| 60′ | SafiraAlan Kardec | ||
| 62′ | Raí Lopes de OliveiraEdson Lucas Pereira | ||
| 70′ | MandacaLucas Alves | ||
| 72′ | Pedro Henrique PerottiNeto Pessoa | ||
| 72′ | Fernando SobralPatrick de Paula Carreiro | ||
| 79′ | sam rodrigo | ||
| 80′ | Gabriel PiresRaí da Silva Pessanha | ||
| 81′ | AderlanWadson Victor Nunes Damasceno | ||
| 81′ | Augusto Pucci De Freitas | ||
| 86′ | Marcelo Ajul | ||
| 90′ | Diego·HernandezBiel |
Sport Recife
38%
Draw
31%
Juventude
31%
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 356 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Sport Recife vs Juventude overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Recife vs Juventude
| Probability | Sport Recife | Draw | Juventude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 32.3% | 28.0% |
| Market | 37.0% | 30.8% | 32.1% |
| Final | 37.7% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +1.5% | -4.2% |
Why Sport Recife
- The market prices Sport Recife below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
14%
Sport Recife and Juventude expected goals
Sport Recife
1.17
Juventude
0.94
Total expected goals: 2.11
Sport Recife and Juventude attack and defence ratings
Sport Recife
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Juventude
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sport Recife vs Juventude: result vs prediction
Sport Recife 2 – 1 Juventude
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sport Recife vs Juventude markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Recife | 37.7% | 2.65 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Recife | 37.7% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Juventude | 31.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Recife win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-0 | 12.9% |
Sport Recife vs Juventude stats
Sport Recife and Juventude recent form
| Sport Recife |
LWLLWL |
| Juventude |
LWDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sport Recife and Juventude going into this match
Sport Recife record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juventude record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 19 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Recife vs Juventude head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
3Sport Recife wins
1Draws
3Juventude wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Juventude | Sport Recife | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Sport Recife | Juventude | Brazil Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-14 | Juventude | Sport Recife | Brazil Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-16 | Juventude | Sport Recife | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2023-06-23 | Sport Recife | Juventude | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-06 | Sport Recife | Juventude | Serie A | 3-1 |
| 2021-06-20 | Juventude | Sport Recife | Serie A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sport Recife vs Juventude odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 30.9%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 2.99 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.05 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 2.99 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.15 | 2.98 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 2.87 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.50 ▲ +0.12
X
3.00 ▼ -0.02
2
2.88 ▼ -0.17
6 snapshots recorded, from .