Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Nautico Recife
vs
Sport Recife
3 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira | ||
| 45′ | Vinicius | ||
| 45′ | Augusto Pucci De FreitasClaudinho | ||
| 45′ | Fernando SobralJuan | ||
| 45′ | Luan SalesReginaldo | ||
| 48′ | Jean Carlos | ||
| 57′ | Ryan SantosGustavo Henrique | ||
| 58′ | Derek Freitas RibeiroBenjamín Borasi | ||
| 61′ | Diego·HernandezPatrick de Paula Carreiro | ||
| 67′ | TodinhoPaulo Sérgio | ||
| 71′ | Marlon DouglasKervin Andrade | ||
| 71′ | Pedro Henrique PerottiNeto Pessoa | ||
| 72′ | Gustavo Henrique | ||
| 74′ | Jean CarlosKauan Almeida da Costa | ||
| 83′ | Raí Lopes de Oliveira | ||
| 90′ | Neto Pessoa |
Nautico Recife
39%
Draw
29%
Sport Recife
32%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 11 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 211 | Accurate passes | 341 |
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife
| Probability | Nautico Recife | Draw | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| Market | 41.0% | 29.3% | 29.7% |
| Final | 39.5% | 28.9% | 31.7% |
| Edge | -6.1% | -1.6% | +7.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Nautico Recife and Sport Recife expected goals
Nautico Recife
1.37
Sport Recife
1.43
Total expected goals: 2.80
Nautico Recife and Sport Recife attack and defence ratings
Nautico Recife
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Sport Recife
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife: result vs prediction
Nautico Recife 3 – 1 Sport Recife
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 39.5% | 2.53 | -6.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 39.5% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Sport Recife | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nautico Recife win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife stats
Nautico Recife and Sport Recife recent form
| Nautico Recife |
LDLWWD |
| Sport Recife |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nautico Recife and Sport Recife going into this match
Nautico Recife record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Recife record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Nautico Recife wins
3Draws
4Sport Recife wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Sport Recife | Nautico Recife | Brazil Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sport Recife | Nautico Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 3-3 |
| 2026-01-18 | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 4-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Sport Recife | Nautico Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Sport Recife | Nautico Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-21 | Sport Recife | Nautico Recife | Copa do Nordeste | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-24 | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | Pernambucano - 1 | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Nautico Recife | Sport Recife | Copa do Nordeste | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 29.3%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.14 | 3.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.28 | 3.29 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.10 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▲ +0.15
X
3.15 ▼ -0.32
2
3.10 ▼ -0.09
10 snapshots recorded, from .