Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Novorizontino
vs
São Bernardo
0 – 0 Full time
| 38′ | Helder Maciel | ||
| 58′ | Augusto | ||
| 60′ | Felipe GarciaFabrício Daniel | ||
| 60′ | Francisco Reidiney Duarte GomesJuninho | ||
| 60′ | Nicolas Morês da CruzVinicius | ||
| 70′ | Leonardo Naldi de MatosCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito | ||
| 74′ | FoguinhoLucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva | ||
| 74′ | Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesDaniel Davi Simão Roque | ||
| 85′ | Mário Sérgio ValerioPará | ||
| 85′ | Pedro Vitor Ferreira da SilvaEchapora | ||
| 85′ | Romulo Azevedo SimãoLuiz Otavio Maria | ||
| 85′ | RobsonDiego Galo |
Novorizontino
60%
Draw
24%
São Bernardo
16%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 424 | Accurate passes | 359 |
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Novorizontino vs São Bernardo
| Probability | Novorizontino | Draw | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.5% | 24.1% | 18.5% |
| Market | 60.2% | 24.2% | 15.6% |
| Final | 59.5% | 24.2% | 16.3% |
| Edge | -2.8% | -0.1% | +2.9% |
Why Novorizontino
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Novorizontino and São Bernardo expected goals
Novorizontino
1.91
São Bernardo
1.01
Total expected goals: 2.92
Novorizontino and São Bernardo attack and defence ratings
Novorizontino
Attack
1.48 +48%
Defence
0.91 -9%
São Bernardo
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: result vs prediction
Novorizontino 0 – 0 São Bernardo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novorizontino | 59.5% | 1.68 | -2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novorizontino | 59.5% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| São Bernardo | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Novorizontino win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo stats
Novorizontino and São Bernardo recent form
| Novorizontino |
LDWWWW |
| São Bernardo |
WWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Novorizontino and São Bernardo going into this match
Novorizontino record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Novorizontino wins
2Draws
0São Bernardo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | São Bernardo | Novorizontino | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Novorizontino | São Bernardo | Copa Sul-Sudeste | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Novorizontino | São Bernardo | Paulista - A1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-06 | São Bernardo | Novorizontino | Paulista - A1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.6%, draw 24.0%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.86 | 5.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.86 | 5.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.13 | 6.29 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.72 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 ▼ -0.01
X
3.86 ▼ -0.04
2
6.00 ▲ +0.47
14 snapshots recorded, from .