Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Novorizontino
vs
Goias
3 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Romulo Azevedo Simão | ||
| 58′ | Djalma SilvaDanilo Cunha | ||
| 59′ | Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de CastroAnselmo Ramon | ||
| 59′ | Adilson dos Anjos OliveiraGuilherme Baldoria de Camargo | ||
| 61′ | Robson | ||
| 69′ | Nicolas Morês da CruzMaykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho | ||
| 70′ | Francisco Reidiney Duarte GomesRonald Barcellos Arantes | ||
| 70′ | Jean CarlosLuiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida | ||
| 70′ | Lucas LimaPedro Junqueira de Oliveira | ||
| 78′ | RobsonCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito | ||
| 78′ | Matheus Henrique BianquiLeonardo Naldi de Matos | ||
| 81′ | Patrick Marcos de Sousa Freitas | ||
| 85′ | Sander | ||
| 86′ | Ronald Barcellos Arantes | ||
| 87′ | Romulo Azevedo SimãoJuninho | ||
| 90′ | Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida | ||
| 90′ | Juninho |
Novorizontino
58%
Draw
25%
Goias
17%
Match stats
| 31 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 9 |
| 223 | Accurate passes | 530 |
Novorizontino vs Goias overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Novorizontino vs Goias
| Probability | Novorizontino | Draw | Goias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 26.7% | 15.5% |
| Market | 57.7% | 24.6% | 17.7% |
| Final | 57.7% | 25.1% | 17.2% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +2.1% | -2.2% |
Why Novorizontino
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.74.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
10%
Novorizontino and Goias expected goals
Novorizontino
1.64
Goias
0.74
Total expected goals: 2.37
Novorizontino and Goias attack and defence ratings
Novorizontino
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Goias
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Novorizontino vs Goias: result vs prediction
Novorizontino 3 – 0 Goias
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Novorizontino vs Goias markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novorizontino | 57.7% | 1.73 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Novorizontino | 57.7% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Goias | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Novorizontino win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 2-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
Novorizontino vs Goias stats
Novorizontino and Goias recent form
| Novorizontino |
DLDWWW |
| Goias |
LWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Novorizontino and Goias going into this match
Novorizontino record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Goias record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Novorizontino vs Goias head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
3Novorizontino wins
0Draws
2Goias wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Goias | Novorizontino | Brazil Serie B | 0-4 |
| 2025-11-16 | Goias | Novorizontino | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Novorizontino | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Goias | Novorizontino | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-04 | Novorizontino | Goias | Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Novorizontino vs Goias odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.7%, draw 24.6%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.01 | 5.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.85 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.72 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.87 | 5.89 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.50 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.60 ▼ -0.03
X
3.75 ▲ +0.15
2
5.20 ▼ -0.05
9 snapshots recorded, from .