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Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 31

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro

2 – 0 Full time

5′Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira
22′Guilherme Parede
28′Luca Sosa
49′Heitor Manuel Barcelos LimaJulio César Leme Do Nascimento
53′Adriano Fonseca
59′José Domingos de Moraes Neto
60′Geovany SoaresGuilherme Costa Marques
60′Gustavo Maia da SilvaMatheuzinho
60′Marrony da Silva Liberato SilveiraBruno José
60′Gustavo Coutinho Silva LopesJoão Pedro
62′WillianMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho
62′Guilherme ParedeRicardo Silva
74′José Domingos de Moraes NetoCristiano Claudinei Nogueira
74′Rafael Raul BarcelosTobias Ostchega
74′Matías SegoviaFilipe Pereira Dahora

Estadio Antonio Accioly, GoianiaReferee: Marianna Nanni Batalha

Atletico Goianiense 73%
Draw 18%
America Mineiro 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
55 Possession % 45
8 Corners 6
17 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 5
435 Accurate passes 340

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico GoianienseDrawAmerica Mineiro
Model74.0%19.6%6.4%
Market73.1%17.7%9.3%
Final73.3%18.1%8.6%
Edge+1.0%+1.9%-2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Goianiense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.45.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Goian ↓ / America Mineir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 16% 2 17% 3 12% 4+ 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 9%

Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro expected goals

Atletico Goianiense 2.03
America Mineiro 0.45

Total expected goals: 2.48

Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro attack and defence ratings

Atletico Goianiense

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.68 -32%

America Mineiro

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro: result vs prediction

Atletico Goianiense 2 – 0 America Mineiro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Goianiense 73.3% 1.36 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score No 67.6% 1.48 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.4% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Atletico Goianiense win 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Goianiense73.3%
Draw18.1%
America Mineiro8.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes32.4%
No67.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.4%
12 (either side)81.9%
X2 (draw or away)26.7%
Handicap -1Atletico Goianiense win48.7%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss26.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-017.2%
1-016.2%
3-011.6%

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro stats

Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro recent form

newest first
Atletico Goianiense WLWWDW
America Mineiro LLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Goianiense record

  • They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

America Mineiro record

  • They have won 4 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Atletico Goianiense wins 5Draws 2America Mineiro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-08America MineiroAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B1-2
2025-09-26Atletico GoianienseAmerica MineiroBrazil Serie B1-0
2025-05-27America MineiroAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B2-1
2022-11-13America MineiroAtletico GoianienseSerie A1-1
2022-07-24Atletico GoianienseAmerica MineiroSerie A0-1
2021-11-17America MineiroAtletico GoianienseSerie A0-0
2021-08-01Atletico GoianienseAmerica MineiroSerie A1-1
2019-10-25Atletico GoianienseAmerica MineiroSerie B2-2
2019-07-26America MineiroAtletico GoianienseSerie B0-1
2015-09-18Atletico GoianienseAmerica MineiroSerie B1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.1%, draw 17.7%, away 9.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.27 5.83 11.00
Bet365 1.28 5.25 10.00
BetVictor 1.25 4.80 9.50
Betano 1.31 5.80 11.25
Betfair 1.25 5.00 11.00
Marathonbet 1.25 5.35 10.00
Pinnacle 1.31 5.42 10.12
SBO 1.30 4.47 7.72
William Hill 1.25 5.00 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.27 ▼ -0.14
X 5.25 ▲ +0.95
2 10.00 ▲ +2.50

10 snapshots recorded, from .