Brazil Serie B · 2026-10-07T23:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 32

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense

3 – 1 Full time

45′			Marrony da Silva Liberato SilveiraCristiano Claudinei Nogueira
52′			Gustavo Maia da Silva
53′			Diogo Hereda da Silva
56′			Pedro Castro
61′			Lyncon·Correa Goncalves
62′			Thiago Fernandes RodriguesVinicius Barata
62′			Daniel Sampaio SimõesGeovane
67′			Guilherme LopesYuri
67′			José Domingos de Moraes NetoBruno José
67′			Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos SantosHenrique
72′			Mikael
80′			Diogo Hereda da SilvaKevin
81′			Lucas LovatMaycon Ribeiro Mattos Ferreira
81′			Dadá BelmonteYgor Catatau
81′			Geovany SoaresMatheuzinho
90′			Henrique
90′			Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes

Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio

CRB

46%

Draw

27%

Atletico Goianiense

27%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

21	Shots	15
9	Shots on target	2
51	Possession %	49
10	Corners	7
18	Fouls	15
2	Offsides	1
1	Saves	6
387	Accurate passes	356

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CRB vs Atletico Goianiense

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	CRB	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
Model	26.9%	31.7%	41.4%
Market	51.9%	25.9%	22.2%
Final	45.6%	27.4%	27.0%
Edge	-24.9%	+5.7%	+19.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

87%

2+ goals

65%

3+ goals

37%

No goals

13%

CRB and Atletico Goianiense expected goals

CRB

0.94

Atletico Goianiense

1.23

Total expected goals: 2.16

CRB and Atletico Goianiense attack and defence ratings

CRB

Attack

1.21 +21%

Defence

1.02 +2%

Atletico Goianiense

Attack

1.25 +25%

Defence

0.59 -41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense: result vs prediction

CRB 3 – 1 Atletico Goianiense

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Sport Recife vs São Bernardo · 2026-10-06
Goias v Athletic Club — match page · 2026-10-06
Ponte Preta vs Juventude · 2026-10-07
Avai vs Londrina — team news & stats · 2026-10-07
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP · 2026-10-07
America Mineiro v Fortaleza EC — match page · 2026-10-07
Vila Nova v Cuiaba — match page · 2026-10-07
Ceara vs Criciuma — team news & stats · 2026-10-08

Before and after this match

CRB, previous: São Bernardo vs CRB: odds and pick
CRB, next: Fortaleza EC – CRB, 2026-10-12
Atletico Goianiense, previous: Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro: odds and pick
Atletico Goianiense, next: Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife prediction

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	CRB	45.6%	2.19	-24.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	63.2%	1.58	—	—
Both teams to score	No	55.7%	1.80	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.0%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	73.1%	1.37	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	CRB	45.6%
	Draw	27.4%
	Atletico Goianiense	27.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	36.8%
	Under 2.5	63.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	44.3%
	No	55.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.0%
	12 (either side)	72.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.4%
Handicap -1	CRB win	9.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.9%
	Loss	73.1%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.5%
	0-0	12.8%
	0-1	12.8%

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense stats

CRB and Atletico Goianiense recent form

newest first

CRB	LWLWLW
Atletico Goianiense	WWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CRB and Atletico Goianiense going into this match

league record before kick-off

CRB record

They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Atletico Goianiense record

They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5CRB wins 1Draws 4Atletico Goianiense wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-06-12	Atletico Goianiense	CRB	Brazil Serie B	3-3
2025-10-26	CRB	Atletico Goianiense	Brazil Serie B	2-1
2025-07-04	Atletico Goianiense	CRB	Brazil Serie B	2-1
2023-08-02	CRB	Atletico Goianiense	Serie B	2-1
2023-04-21	Atletico Goianiense	CRB	Serie B	2-1
2019-11-09	CRB	Atletico Goianiense	Serie B	2-1
2019-08-06	Atletico Goianiense	CRB	Serie B	0-1
2018-08-25	Atletico Goianiense	CRB	Serie B	1-0
2018-05-04	CRB	Atletico Goianiense	Serie B	3-1
2016-10-04	CRB	Atletico Goianiense	Serie B	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CRB vs Atletico Goianiense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 25.9%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.77	3.62	4.20
Bet365	1.80	3.60	4.33
BetVictor	1.75	3.50	4.00
Betano	1.80	3.55	4.30
Betfair	1.75	3.60	4.33
Marathonbet	1.75	3.62	4.20
Pinnacle	1.83	3.71	4.40
SBO	1.80	3.22	3.84
William Hill	1.80	3.40	4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.16

X 3.60 ▲ +0.21

2 4.20 ▲ +0.65

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-03T08:10:03Z.