Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Vila Nova
vs
Cuiaba
0 – 0 Full time
| 16′ | Eduardo Maciel de Barros | ||
| 57′ | Higor Luiz de Souza | ||
| 59′ | Janderson | ||
| 64′ | Everton GaldinoLincoln | ||
| 64′ | Eduardo Dos Santos | ||
| 66′ | Calebe | ||
| 70′ | Fabio GomesPedro Henrique | ||
| 75′ | JandersonRyan lima | ||
| 76′ | André LuísEmerson | ||
| 76′ | David Miguel de Souza ArcanjoWesley Dias Claudino | ||
| 76′ | Jean Dias da CostaRodrigo Antonio Rodrigues | ||
| 76′ | Eduardo Dos SantosHigor Meritão | ||
| 83′ | Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do CarmoEliel Chrystian | ||
| 84′ | Emerson | ||
| 89′ | Marquinhos GabrielRaphael Guimarães de Paula |
Vila Nova
45%
Draw
30%
Cuiaba
24%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 257 | Accurate passes | 278 |
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vila Nova vs Cuiaba
| Probability | Vila Nova | Draw | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.9% | 30.5% | 21.6% |
| Market | 44.5% | 30.2% | 25.3% |
| Final | 45.4% | 30.3% | 24.4% |
| Edge | +3.4% | +0.3% | -3.7% |
Why Vila Nova
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vila Nova below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Vila Nova and Cuiaba expected goals
Vila Nova
1.35
Cuiaba
0.83
Total expected goals: 2.18
Vila Nova and Cuiaba attack and defence ratings
Vila Nova
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Cuiaba
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba: result vs prediction
Vila Nova 0 – 0 Cuiaba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vila Nova | 45.4% | 2.20 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vila Nova | 45.4% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Cuiaba | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vila Nova win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 52.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.0% |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba stats
Vila Nova and Cuiaba recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vila Nova and Cuiaba going into this match
Vila Nova record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Cuiaba record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Vila Nova wins
2Draws
5Cuiaba wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Cuiaba | Vila Nova | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Vila Nova | Cuiaba | Brazil Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-27 | Cuiaba | Vila Nova | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Cuiaba | Vila Nova | Copa Verde | 4-2 |
| 2024-04-17 | Vila Nova | Cuiaba | Copa Verde | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-22 | Cuiaba | Vila Nova | Copa Verde | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-15 | Vila Nova | Cuiaba | Copa Verde | 0-2 |
| 2021-02-08 | Vila Nova | Cuiaba | Copa Verde | 3-0 |
| 2021-02-05 | Cuiaba | Vila Nova | Copa Verde | 1-0 |
| 2019-11-30 | Cuiaba | Vila Nova | Serie B | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 30.2%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.10 | 3.94 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.83 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▲ +0.19
X
3.10 ▼ -0.05
2
3.70 ▼ -0.42
10 snapshots recorded, from .