Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Ponte Preta
vs
Juventude
0 – 2 Full time
| 26′ | MandacaMarcos Paulo | ||
| 27′ | Messias Rodrigues da Silva Júnior | ||
| 35′ | Diego Monteiro Leao | ||
| 35′ | Emanuell Silva Ferreira | ||
| 36′ | Raí da Silva Pessanha | ||
| 47′ | Denis | ||
| 55′ | DenisGustavo Lopes Teles | ||
| 57′ | Raí da Silva PessanhaLucas Mineiro | ||
| 57′ | Fabio limaLuis Amarilla | ||
| 59′ | Luis Amarilla | ||
| 60′ | Aderlan | ||
| 71′ | Emanuell Silva FerreiraNicolas Silva | ||
| 71′ | DaniloMiguel Morais Silva Santos | ||
| 72′ | Messias Rodrigues da Silva JúniorCristian Chagas Tarouco | ||
| 72′ | SafiraJuan | ||
| 83′ | Marcos Paulo | ||
| 87′ | Gustavo Lopes Teles |
Ponte Preta
9%
Draw
20%
Juventude
71%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 287 | Accurate passes | 351 |
Ponte Preta vs Juventude overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ponte Preta vs Juventude
| Probability | Ponte Preta | Draw | Juventude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.8% | 22.8% | 69.4% |
| Market | 9.9% | 18.9% | 71.2% |
| Final | 9.4% | 19.9% | 70.7% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +3.9% | -1.8% |
Why Juventude
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.45.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
11%
Ponte Preta and Juventude expected goals
Ponte Preta
0.45
Juventude
1.79
Total expected goals: 2.25
Ponte Preta and Juventude attack and defence ratings
Ponte Preta
Attack
0.46 -54%
Defence
1.78 +78%
Juventude
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ponte Preta vs Juventude: result vs prediction
Ponte Preta 0 – 2 Juventude
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ponte Preta vs Juventude markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude | 70.7% | 1.41 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Juventude win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ponte Preta | 9.4% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Juventude | 70.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.3% |
| No | 68.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventude win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.9% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.1% |
| 0-2 | 17.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Ponte Preta vs Juventude stats
Ponte Preta and Juventude recent form
| Ponte Preta |
LLWLLL |
| Juventude |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ponte Preta and Juventude going into this match
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 3 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Juventude record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 21 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ponte Preta vs Juventude head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
1Ponte Preta wins
2Draws
4Juventude wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Juventude | Ponte Preta | Brazil Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2023-11-18 | Juventude | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-19 | Ponte Preta | Juventude | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2020-12-30 | Juventude | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Ponte Preta | Juventude | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2018-11-09 | Juventude | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2018-07-24 | Ponte Preta | Juventude | Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ponte Preta vs Juventude odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.9%, draw 18.9%, away 71.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.35 | 4.90 | 1.30 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 4.50 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 10.25 | 5.10 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Marathonbet | 9.30 | 4.90 | 1.29 |
| Pinnacle | 9.58 | 5.26 | 1.32 |
| SBO | 8.10 | 4.39 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
9.30 ▼ -1.70
X
4.90 ▼ -0.20
2
1.30 ▲ +0.05
8 snapshots recorded, from .