Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Operario-PR
vs
Botafogo SP
1 – 2 Full time
| 1′ | Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia | ||
| 36′ | Leandro Maciel | ||
| 44′ | Patrick Brey | ||
| 45′ | Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva | ||
| 45′ | Hildeberto Pereira | ||
| 45′ | ParaibaMiranda | ||
| 45′ | AylonOnitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues | ||
| 54′ | Morelli | ||
| 56′ | Gabriel Feliciano da SilvaVinicius Alessandro Mingotti | ||
| 62′ | Matheus TrindadeJuan Zuluaga | ||
| 66′ | Rafael GavaMarco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi | ||
| 66′ | Leandro MacielMatheus Sales | ||
| 70′ | Darlan Batista Cobo Da SilvaHebert Willian Badaro Oliveira | ||
| 70′ | HygorArthur Caíke | ||
| 71′ | Caio DantasPedrinho | ||
| 87′ | Wesley SantosJosé Hugo Sousa dos Santos | ||
| 89′ | Juan Zuluaga | ||
| 90′ | Joseph | ||
| 90′ | Jose Abad Cuenu Rodriguez | ||
| 90′ | Patrick Brey |
Operario-PR
51%
Draw
27%
Botafogo SP
22%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 335 | Accurate passes | 268 |
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP
| Probability | Operario-PR | Draw | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 23.6% | 20.0% |
| Market | 49.2% | 28.2% | 22.6% |
| Final | 51.0% | 27.1% | 21.9% |
| Edge | +7.2% | -4.6% | -2.5% |
Why Operario-PR
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Operario-PR below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
5%
Operario-PR and Botafogo SP expected goals
Operario-PR
1.98
Botafogo SP
1.12
Total expected goals: 3.10
Operario-PR and Botafogo SP attack and defence ratings
Operario-PR
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Botafogo SP
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP: result vs prediction
Operario-PR 1 – 2 Botafogo SP
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 51.0% | 1.96 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 51.0% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Botafogo SP | 21.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Operario-PR win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.8% |
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP stats
Operario-PR and Botafogo SP recent form
| Operario-PR |
LDWDWW |
| Botafogo SP |
LWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Operario-PR and Botafogo SP going into this match
Operario-PR record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Botafogo SP record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Operario-PR wins
5Draws
3Botafogo SP wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Botafogo SP | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Botafogo SP | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Operario-PR | Botafogo SP | Brazil Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-13 | Botafogo SP | Operario-PR | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-22 | Operario-PR | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-29 | Botafogo SP | Operario-PR | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Operario-PR | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2019-09-24 | Botafogo SP | Operario-PR | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2019-05-25 | Operario-PR | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2018-07-28 | Botafogo SP | Operario-PR | Serie C | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 28.2%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.28 | 4.02 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.28 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.47 | 4.48 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.06 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.88 ▲ +0.02
X
3.28 ▼ -0.12
2
4.10 ▲ +0.05
10 snapshots recorded, from .