Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 32

Avai vs Londrina

2 – 1 Full time

6′Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
30′Hyan
32′Hyan
39′Guilherme Maciel Dantas
45′Douglas da Silva Teixeira
45′Herbert Mateus Almeida De OliveiraVictor Hugo de Faria Mota
45′Gabriel Santos Cordeiro LacerdaWilliam Pottker
49′William Pottker
58′HyanLeo Chu
67′Allyson Aires Dos Santos
68′Igor Ruan Sousa dos SantosPablo Dyego
68′Guilherme Maciel DantasVictor Feitosa de Freitas
70′Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraLéo Gamalho
70′Luiz HenriquePaulo Vitor
77′WendersonGaspar
77′Léo Gamalho
82′Joao ConiThalis Henrique Cantanhede
90′Leo Chu

Estádio da Ressacada, FlorianopolisReferee: Bruno Mota Correia

Avai 42%
Draw 30%
Londrina 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 4
40 Possession % 60
4 Corners 9
16 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
312 Accurate passes 497

Avai vs Londrina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Avai vs Londrina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAvaiDrawLondrina
Model36.5%31.2%32.3%
Market43.9%29.7%26.3%
Final42.1%30.1%27.8%
Edge-7.4%+1.5%+5.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Avai ↓ / Londrina → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Avai and Londrina expected goals

Avai 1.18
Londrina 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.27

Avai and Londrina attack and defence ratings

Avai

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Londrina

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Avai vs Londrina: result vs prediction

Avai 2 – 1 Londrina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Avai vs Londrina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Avai 42.1% 2.38 -7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Avai42.1%
Draw30.1%
Londrina27.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.6%
Under 2.560.4%
Both teams to scoreYes47.3%
No52.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.2%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.9%
Handicap -1Avai win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.7%
1-010.8%

Avai vs Londrina stats

Avai and Londrina recent form

newest first
Avai LLLDLL
Londrina LLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Avai and Londrina going into this match

league record before kick-off

Avai record

  • They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Londrina record

  • They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Avai vs Londrina head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Avai wins 3Draws 1Londrina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-16LondrinaAvaiBrazil Serie B3-2
2023-10-15LondrinaAvaiSerie B1-1
2023-06-24AvaiLondrinaSerie B0-0
2021-09-28AvaiLondrinaSerie B2-0
2021-06-30LondrinaAvaiSerie B1-3
2018-11-03AvaiLondrinaSerie B1-1
2018-07-12LondrinaAvaiSerie B1-2
2016-11-19LondrinaAvaiSerie B0-1
2016-07-27AvaiLondrinaSerie B1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Avai vs Londrina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 29.7%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.25 3.52
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.60
BetVictor 2.05 3.10 3.30
Betano 2.10 3.10 3.65
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.40
Marathonbet 2.03 3.25 3.50
Pinnacle 2.17 3.17 3.81
SBO 2.14 2.90 3.14
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.15
X 3.10 ▼ -0.20
2 3.50 ▼ -0.21

10 snapshots recorded, from .