Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Avai
vs
Ceara
0 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Reynaldo Cesar MoraesJefferson Maciel | ||
| 37′ | Romildo | ||
| 37′ | Wenderson | ||
| 38′ | Luiz Otávio | ||
| 55′ | Richardson | ||
| 60′ | Léo GamalhoCaio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira | ||
| 63′ | RichardsonVinicius Zanocelo | ||
| 63′ | Lucca Holanda Sampaio TavaresVinícius | ||
| 70′ | João VitorWallison | ||
| 70′ | RomildoGaspar | ||
| 71′ | Felipe Vizeu | ||
| 75′ | Enzo Valentim LodovicoRian Bonfim De Santana | ||
| 75′ | Bryan Borges MascarenhasJanderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins | ||
| 87′ | Matheus AraujoRenzo López | ||
| 90′ | Daniel Penha | ||
| 90′ | Luiz Otávio |
Avai
36%
Draw
30%
Ceara
34%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 368 | Accurate passes | 289 |
Avai vs Ceara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avai vs Ceara
| Probability | Avai | Draw | Ceara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 28.7% | 36.5% |
| Market | 36.2% | 31.0% | 32.8% |
| Final | 35.8% | 30.5% | 33.7% |
| Edge | -1.4% | -2.3% | +3.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Avai and Ceara expected goals
Avai
1.30
Ceara
1.33
Total expected goals: 2.63
Avai and Ceara attack and defence ratings
Avai
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Ceara
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avai vs Ceara: result vs prediction
Avai 0 – 1 Ceara
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- Athletic Club vs Sport Recife — team news & stats
- Novorizontino vs Goias
- São Bernardo v CRB — match page
- Londrina v Criciuma — match page
- Juventude vs Operario-PR — team news & stats
- Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife
- Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro — team news & stats
- Cuiaba v Ponte Preta — match page
Before and after this match
Avai vs Ceara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avai | 35.8% | 2.79 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avai | 35.8% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Ceara | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avai win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Avai vs Ceara stats
Avai and Ceara recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Avai and Ceara going into this match
Avai record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ceara record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Avai vs Ceara head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Avai wins
2Draws
6Ceara wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Ceara | Avai | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Ceara | Avai | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Avai | Ceara | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Avai | Ceara | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-28 | Ceara | Avai | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-08 | Avai | Ceara | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-20 | Ceara | Avai | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-13 | Ceara | Avai | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-27 | Avai | Ceara | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2016-09-04 | Ceara | Avai | Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Avai vs Ceara odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 31.0%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.31 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 2.97 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.02 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 2.94 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.55 ▼ -0.08
X
2.97 ▼ -0.15
2
2.81 ▲ +0.19
11 snapshots recorded, from .