Brazil Serie B · 2026-10-02T23:45:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 31

Juventude vs Operario-PR

3 – 0 Full time

9′			Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva
22′			Gabriel Pires
25′			Mandaca
27′			Mikael Doka
41′			Fabio lima
45′			AylonOnitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
45′			Mikael DokaMaguinho
56′			Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva
60′			MandacaMarcos Paulo
60′			Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaGabriel Barbosa Pinheiro
68′			Hildeberto PereiraPedrinho
69′			Vinícius Diniz Dall AntoniaParaiba
69′			Caio DantasVinicius Alessandro Mingotti
70′			Gabriel Feliciano da Silva
70′			Gabriel PiresLuan Martins·Goncalves
71′			Fabio limaAlan Kardec
82′			PatryckWadson Victor Nunes Damasceno

Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias SulReferee: Julio Cesar Pfleger

Juventude

46%

Draw

30%

Operario-PR

24%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

25	Shots	22
6	Shots on target	4
49	Possession %	51
3	Corners	5
26	Fouls	17
1	Offsides	1
4	Saves	3
335	Accurate passes	373

Juventude vs Operario-PR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juventude vs Operario-PR

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Juventude	Draw	Operario-PR
Model	41.9%	29.8%	28.3%
Market	47.3%	29.9%	22.7%
Final	46.0%	29.9%	24.1%
Edge	-5.4%	-0.1%	+5.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

71%

3+ goals

43%

No goals

10%

Juventude and Operario-PR expected goals

Juventude

1.35

Operario-PR

1.07

Total expected goals: 2.41

Juventude and Operario-PR attack and defence ratings

Juventude

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.80 -20%

Operario-PR

Attack

1.39 +39%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juventude vs Operario-PR: result vs prediction

Juventude 3 – 0 Operario-PR

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Athletic Club vs Sport Recife — team news & stats · 2026-10-01
Novorizontino vs Goias · 2026-10-02
São Bernardo v CRB — match page · 2026-10-02
Londrina v Criciuma — match page · 2026-10-02
Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife · 2026-10-03
Avai vs Ceara · 2026-10-03
Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro — team news & stats · 2026-10-03
Cuiaba v Ponte Preta — match page · 2026-10-03

Before and after this match

Juventude, previous: America Mineiro – Juventude, 2026-09-28
Juventude, next: Ponte Preta vs Juventude prediction
Operario-PR, previous: Operario-PR vs Ceara: odds and pick
Operario-PR, next: Operario-PR v Botafogo SP analysis

Juventude vs Operario-PR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Juventude	46.0%	2.18	-5.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	56.6%	1.77	—	—
Both teams to score	No	50.2%	1.99	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	75.9%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	58.2%	1.72	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Juventude	46.0%
	Draw	29.9%
	Operario-PR	24.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	43.4%
	Under 2.5	56.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	49.8%
	No	50.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	75.9%
	12 (either side)	70.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.0%
Handicap -1	Juventude win	20.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.8%
	Loss	58.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.1%
	1-0	10.8%
	0-0	10.2%

Juventude vs Operario-PR stats

Juventude and Operario-PR recent form

newest first

Juventude	WLLWDD
Operario-PR	DWDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juventude and Operario-PR going into this match

league record before kick-off

Juventude record

They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have kept 20 clean sheets in 30 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Operario-PR record

They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Juventude vs Operario-PR head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Juventude wins 0Draws 2Operario-PR wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-06-05	Operario-PR	Juventude	Brazil Serie B	2-1
2020-12-22	Operario-PR	Juventude	Serie B	3-0
2020-09-29	Juventude	Operario-PR	Serie B	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juventude vs Operario-PR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 29.9%, away 22.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.96	3.40	4.08
Bet365	2.00	3.00	4.33
BetVictor	1.95	3.00	3.80
Betano	2.07	3.10	4.50
Betfair	1.95	3.10	4.00
Marathonbet	1.90	3.18	4.10
Pinnacle	2.04	3.09	4.30
SBO	2.01	2.88	3.52
William Hill	1.95	3.10	3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.96 ▲ +0.21

X 3.10 ▼ -0.24

2 4.08 ▼ -0.74

8 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-29T08:10:01Z.