Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Londrina
vs
Criciuma
0 – 2 Full time
| 32′ | João VitorWillian da Silva Santos | ||
| 45′ | Nicolas Godinho JohannYuri Jonathan | ||
| 49′ | Yuri Jonathan | ||
| 52′ | Yuri Jonathan | ||
| 55′ | Tárik Michel Kedes BoschettiCaio César Rodrigues Souza | ||
| 55′ | Thalis Henrique CantanhedeVictor Hugo de Faria Mota | ||
| 55′ | Joao ConiGuilherme Cachoeira Silveira | ||
| 58′ | Willian da Silva Santos | ||
| 58′ | Rómulo OteroWaguininho | ||
| 65′ | Waguininho | ||
| 68′ | Jhonata Robert Alves da SilvaRomarinho | ||
| 68′ | JeanGuilherme Teixeira Lobo | ||
| 68′ | Igor Ruan Sousa dos SantosPablo Dyego | ||
| 77′ | RonaldEduardo Biasi | ||
| 84′ | Guilherme Teixeira Lobo | ||
| 87′ | Willian da Silva Santos |
Londrina
37%
Draw
29%
Criciuma
34%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 376 | Accurate passes | 407 |
Londrina vs Criciuma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Londrina vs Criciuma
| Probability | Londrina | Draw | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.8% | 26.6% | 19.6% |
| Market | 31.6% | 29.7% | 38.7% |
| Final | 37.1% | 28.9% | 33.9% |
| Edge | +22.2% | -3.2% | -19.1% |
Why Londrina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.93.
- The market prices Londrina below the model: +22.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Londrina and Criciuma expected goals
Londrina
1.67
Criciuma
0.93
Total expected goals: 2.60
Londrina and Criciuma attack and defence ratings
Londrina
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Criciuma
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Londrina vs Criciuma: result vs prediction
Londrina 0 – 2 Criciuma
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Londrina vs Criciuma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 37.1% | 2.69 | +22.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 37.1% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Criciuma | 33.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Londrina win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 2-0 | 10.4% |
Londrina vs Criciuma stats
Londrina and Criciuma recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Londrina and Criciuma going into this match
Londrina record
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Criciuma record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Londrina vs Criciuma head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Londrina wins
4Draws
5Criciuma wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Criciuma | Londrina | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Criciuma | Londrina | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-01 | Londrina | Criciuma | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | Londrina | Criciuma | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-14 | Criciuma | Londrina | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2020-10-11 | Criciuma | Londrina | Serie C | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-10 | Londrina | Criciuma | Serie C | 0-0 |
| 2019-11-12 | Criciuma | Londrina | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2019-08-16 | Londrina | Criciuma | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2018-11-06 | Londrina | Criciuma | Serie B | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Londrina vs Criciuma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 29.7%, away 38.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.92 | 3.39 | 2.43 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.89 | 3.14 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.27 | 2.44 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 2.95 | 2.31 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.92 ▲ +0.21
X
3.10 ▼ -0.02
2
2.38 ▼ -0.14
10 snapshots recorded, from .